Solar activity forecast for the period July 15 - July 21,
2016
Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux
(1.0-8.0 A): in the range A7.5-A2.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in
the range 80-105 f.u.
Events: class C (0-2/day), class M (0-1/period), class
X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range
10-80
Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept.,
Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period July 15 - July 21, 2016
Quiet: Jul
15 and 18
Unsettled: Jul 19- 21
Active: unlikely Jul 17 and 21
Minor
storm: 0
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0
Geomagnetic activity
summary:
At most, we expect at the Budkov observatory at most quiet to
unsettled
conditions. Till Monday, July 18, we expect at most quiet
conditions, the
second half, more unsettled status is possible. We do not
expect any
storming event.
Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of
Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of Geomagnetism
Budkov
observatory (BDV)
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period July 15 -
August 10, 2016
Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on July 16 - 17,
August 1 - 2
mostly quiet on July 15, 24 - 26, 31, August 10
quiet to
unsettled on July 18, 21 - 23, 30, August 5 - 7, 9
quiet to active on July 19
- 20, 27 - 29, August 3 - 4, 8
active to disturbed on August (3 -
4)
Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are
expected:
on July 19 - 21, 27 - 29, August 2 - 4, 7 -
8
Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
Petr Kolman, OK1MGW
Czech Propagation Interested
Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail:
kolmanp(at)razdva.cz
