Solar activity forecast for the period July 22 - July 28,
2016
Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux
(1.0-8.0 A): in the range A8.0-A4.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in
the range 80-120 f.u.
Events: class C (0-8/day), class M (0-4/period), class
X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range
0-80
Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept.,
Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period July 22 - July 28, 2016
Quiet: Jul
23 - 27
Unsettled: Jul 22, 26 and 28
Active: possible Jul 26
Minor
storm: 0
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0
Geomagnetic activity
summary:
Solar wind velocity has currently decreasing course. After the last
active
episode (at the midnight Jul 19/20, the local K-index reached at
the
Budkov observatory value=5), we expect turning the geomagnetic
conditions
to quiet to unsettled. About Jul 26, an isolated active episode
is
possible. We do not expect storming events next week.
Tomas
Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department
of Geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)
Geomagnetic activity forecast
for the period July 22 - August 16, 2016
Geomagnetic field will
be:
quiet on August 1, 13 - 14
mostly quiet on July 25, 28 - 29, August 11
- 12
quiet to unsettled on July 26, August 7, 16
quiet to active on July
22, 27, 30 - 31, August 2, 5 - 6, 8 - 9, 10, 15
active to disturbed on July
23 or 24, August 3 - 4
Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal
holes are expected
on July 27 - 28, 30 - 31. AUgust 1 - 2, 7 -
8
Remark:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
- Reliability of predictions is reduced.
F. K. Janda,
OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly
forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
