venerdì 23 ottobre 2015

Solar activity forecast for the period October 23 - 29, 2015

Activity level: mostly low to moderate
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B1.0-B9.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 90-135 f.u.
Events: class C (0-15/day), class M (0-4/day), class X (0/period),
        proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 10-95

Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period October 23 - 29, 2015

The first half of forecasted week, the local geomagnetic conditions should
turn to quiet. In can be inerrupted about Oct 25 when unsettled conditions
are possible.
During the second half, we expect quiet to unsettled conditions. The last
forecasted day, active episode is possible.

Tomas Bayer
Institute of Geophysics ASCR
Budkov Geomagnetic Observatory (BDV)
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period October 23 - November 17, 2015

Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on October 26,
mostly quiet on October 23, 27, 29, November 5 - 6, 11 - 12, 15
quiet to unsettled on October 25, November 7, 13 - 14, 16
quiet to active on October 24, 28, 30 - 31, November 1, 3, 8, 10, 17
active to disturbed on November 2, 4, 9

Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on October (29 - 30,) 31,
November (2,) 3 - 4, (5, 10 - 11,) 15, 18, (19 - 20)

Remarks:
- Reliability of predictions remains reduced in present solar cycle phase.
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz