venerdì 18 marzo 2016

Solar activity forecast for the period March 18 - March 24, 2016

Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A9.5-B4.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-105 f.u.
Events: class C (0-5/day), class M (0-2/period), class X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 20-100

Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 18 - March 24, 2016


Quiet: Mar 19 - Mar 21
Unsettled: possible about Mar 22 to Mar 24
Active: 0
Minor storm: 0
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0

Geomagntic activity summary:
After the last active episode (at the Budkov observatory, the K-index
early Mar 17 reached K=4), we expect solar activity decrease. For the next
week, we expect quiet to unsettled conditions at most.

Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 18 - April 13, 2016


Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on March 20 - 21, 25 - 26
mostly quiet on March 18 - 19, 22, 31, April 1, 9
quiet to unsettled on March 23 - 24, 27, 30, April 5 - 6, 13
quiet to active on March 28 - 29, April 4, 7 - 8
active to disturbed on April (2 - 3), 10 - 12

Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are expected:
on March (23 - 24), 27 - 29, April 1 - 4, 7 - 8, 10 - 12


Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.

Petr Kolman, OK1MGW
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: kolmanp(at)razdva.cz