:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Mar 14 0430 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 07 - 13 March 2016
Solar activity reached low levels on 08-09
and 12 March. The largest
event of the period was a C3 flare from Region 2519
(N05, L=007,
class/area=Cso/80 on 13 Mar) at 09/1250 UTC. Very low levels
of
solar activity were observed throughout the remainder of the period.
No
coronal mass ejections (CMEs) observed in coronagraph imagery
were determined
to be Earth-directed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was
at
high levels on 07-11 Mar and decreased to moderate levels on 12-13
Mar.
Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storm
levels early on 07 Mar due to the influence of a positive
polarity
coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Activity levels subsided
to
quiet to unsettled levels on 08 Mar and quiet levels by 09 Mar.
Quiet
to unsettled conditions were observed on 10 Mar and continued
into early on
11 Mar when the co-rotating interaction region (CIR)
ahead of a positive
polarity CH HSS caused G2 (Moderate) geomagnetic
storm conditions. As the CH
HSS progressed, conditions tapered down
to active levels early on 12 Mar and
into quiet to unsettled for the
remainder of the day. Activity continued to
subside with only quiet
conditions observed on 13 Mar.
FORECAST OF
SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 14 MARCH - 09 APRIL 2016
Solar activity is
expected to be at very low levels with a chance
for C-class flares throughout
the forecast period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
is
expected to be at high levels on 16-21 Mar and 04-06 Apr.
Moderate
levels are expected on 22 Mar-03 Apr and 07-09 Apr. Normal
levels
are expected on 14-15 Mar.
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm
levels on 15-16 Mar and 02-03 Apr due to
the influence of a negative
polarity CH HSS. Active conditions are expected
on 17 Mar and 08
Apr. Unsettled conditions are expected 18 Mar and 01, 04,
07, 08
Apr. Quiet conditions are expected throughout the remainder of
the
outlook period under a nominal solar wind regime.
:Product:
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Mar 14 0431
UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-03-14
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Mar 14 93
5 2
2016 Mar 15 90 25 5
2016 Mar 16
90 22 5
2016 Mar 17 90 12 4
2016
Mar 18 90 8 3
2016 Mar 19 95
5 2
2016 Mar 20 95 5 2
2016 Mar 21
95 5 2
2016 Mar 22 90 5 2
2016
Mar 23 90 5 2
2016 Mar 24 95
5 2
2016 Mar 25 95 5 2
2016 Mar 26
95 5 2
2016 Mar 27 95 5 2
2016
Mar 28 95 5 2
2016 Mar 29 100
5 2
2016 Mar 30 100 5 2
2016 Mar 31
100 5 2
2016 Apr 01 95 8 3
2016
Apr 02 95 30 5
2016 Apr 03 95
25 5
2016 Apr 04 95 8 3
2016 Apr 05
95 5 2
2016 Apr 06 95 5 2
2016
Apr 07 95 8 3
2016 Apr 08 95
12 4
2016 Apr 09 95 8 3
(SWPC via
DXLD)
