Solar activity forecast for the period March 11 - March 17, 2016

Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A9.0-B4.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-110 f.u.
Events: class C (0-5/day), class M (0-2/period), class X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 10-100

Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 11 - March 17, 2016


Quiet: Mar 11
Unsettled: Mar 12 to Mar 13
Active: possible about Mar 14 to Mar 16
Minor storm: 0
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0

Geomagntic activity summary:
Although soar wind velocity has currently decreasing course, we expect
effect of coronal hole at the fisrst half of next week. Between Mar 14 and
16, active episode is possible. Nevertheless, we do not expect any
significant stroming effect during the forecasted time.

Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 11 - April 6, 2016


Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on March 20 - 21, 23, 25 - 27,April 1 - 2
mostly quiet on March 18 - 19, 22, 24, 31, April 6
quiet to unsettled on March 11 - 12, 29 - 30
quiet to active on March 13, 17, 28, April 5
active to disturbed on March 14, (15 - 16,) April 3 - 4

Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on
March 14 - 17, (30 - 31) April 1 - 4

Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz