Solar activity forecast for the period February 26 - March 3,
2016
Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux
(1.0-8.0 A): in the range A9.0-B5.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in
the range 80-115 f.u.
Events: class C (0-10/day), class M (0-2/period), class
X (0/period),
proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in
the range 10-80
Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar
Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail:
sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period February 26 - March 3, 2016
Quiet: Feb
29 to Mar 01
Unsettled: Feb 26 - 28
Active: Mar 2 - 3
Minor storm:
possible Mar 2 - 3
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0
Geomagntic
activity summary:
Next three days, we expect quiet to unsettled conditions
because of low
solar wind velocity.
The space weather can change at the
start of March when active conditions
are possible. The end of predicted week
can be accompanied by minor storm
event but, in our latitudes, we expect more
likely an active episode.
Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of
Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of geomagnetism
Budkov
observatory
(BDV)
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period February 26 - March 23, 2016
Geomagnetic
field will be:
quiet on February 26, March 11 - 12, 18, 20,
mostly quiet
on March 1 - 2, 13, 19, 21, 23
quiet to unsettled on February 27, March 8 -
9, 22
quiet to active on February 28 - 29, March 3 - 5, 7, 10, 14,
17
active to disturbed on March 6, 15 - 16
Amplifications of the solar
wind are expected on February (29,)
March (1 -) 3, 14 -
17
Remarks:
- Reliability of predictions is reduced yet again and
still.
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
F. K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested
Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail:
ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
