Solar activity forecast for the period January 15 - 21, 2016

Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B1.0-B7.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 90-125 f.u.
Events: class C (0-10/day), class M (0-2/period), class X (0/period),
        proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 15-85

Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period January 15 - 21, 2016

Quiet: Jan 15 to Jan 17
Unsettled: Jan 18 to Jan 20
Active: possible between Jan 19 to Jan 21 but not very probable
Minor storm: 0
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary:
Solar activity is currently low. Solar disk seems stable and current
synoptic map does not show higher probability of coronal mass ejection.
Between Jan 18 and 21, active episode is possible but only unsettled
conditions are expected.


Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period January 15 - February 10, 2016

Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on January 25, 29 - 31, February 4 - 5
mostly quiet on January 18, 21, 23 - 24, February 6 - 7
quiet to unsettled on January 15, 17, 26, February 3, 10
quiet to active on January 16, 19 - 20, 22, 28, February 1 - 2, 9
active to disturbed on January 27, February 8

Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on January (15 - 16,)
22 - 26, 30 - 31, February (1 - 5,) 8 - 10

Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz