Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in
the range A9.5-B8.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-125
f.u.
Events: class C (0-10/day), class M (0-3/period), class X
(0/period),
proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the
range 10-85
Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar
Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail:
sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period November 27 - December 3,
2015
Geomagnetic field is currently quiet, local K-index was at he
Budkov
observatory at the lowest value (K=0 last two days).
First half of
forecasted week, we expect quiet to unsettled conditions.
The second one, the
activity should be at range of quiet and unsettled
level only with one active
episode. The active episode is expectable at
Dec 1-2 and should be caused by
positively charged coronal hole stream.
But for the Budkov observatory, we
expect K=4 at the start of december.
Last day, return to quiet to unsettled
conditions is probable.
Tomas Bayer
Institute of Geophysics
ASCR
Budkov Geomagnetic Observatory
(BDV)
__________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period November 27 - December 22,
2015
Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on November 27 - 28, December 17
- 22
mostly quiet on December 13, 16
quiet to unsettled on November 29,
December 9, 11 - 12
quiet to active on December 2 - 5, 7 - 8, 10, 14 -
15
active to disturbed on November 30, December 1, 6
Amplifications of
the solar wind are expected on November 29 - 30,
December 1 - 8, 10 - 11, 14
- 15
Remarks:
- Reliability of predictions remains reduced in
present solar cycle phase.
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
Petr Kolman, OK1MGW
Czech Propagation Interested
Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail:
kolmanp(at)razdva.cz
