:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Dec 11 0147 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 04 - 10 December 2017
Solar activity was at very low levels.
Regions 2690 (N07, L=332,
class/area Bxo/010 on 06 Dec) and 2691 (S03, L=221,
class/area
Axx/010 on 10 dec) were both relatively quiet and stable
throughout
the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
No
proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
moderate levels on 04-05 Dec
and increased to high levels on 06-10
Dec following CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels on 04-06
Dec
with G1 (Minor) storm conditions observed on 05 Dec due to
influence from a
positive polarity CH HSS. Quiet to unsettled
conditions were observed on 07
Dec as CH HSS effects waned. Quiet
conditions prevailed for the remainder of
the period.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 11 DEC 2017-6 JAN
2018
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout
the
period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
is
expected to reach high levels on 11 Dec, 13-17 Dec, 19-21 Dec and
02-06
Jan following recurrent CH HSS events. Normal to moderate
levels are expected
at all other times during the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to active
levels on 11-13 Dec, decreasing to quiet to
unsettled levels on 14
Dec due to positive polarity CH HSS effects. Quiet
conditions are
expected on 15-16 Dec. Unsettled to active conditions are
expected
on 17-21 Dec, with G1 (Minor) storm levels on 18 Dec due
to
recurrent positive polarity CH HSS influence. Quiet conditions
are
anticipated from 22-26 Dec, followed by unsettled to active levels
on
27-28 Dec due to negative polarity CH HSS effects. A return to
quiet
conditions is expected on 29-30 Dec. Predominately unsettled
to active
conditions are expected on 31 Dec-03 Jan, with G1 (Minor)
levels likely on 01
Jan, due to effects from a recurrent positive
polarity CH HSS. Quiet
conditions are expected for the remainder of
the period.
:Product:
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Dec 11 0147
UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2017-12-11
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2017 Dec 11 72
14 4
2017 Dec 12 72 16 4
2017 Dec 13
74 14 4
2017 Dec 14 74 8 3
2017
Dec 15 74 5 2
2017 Dec 16 74
5 2
2017 Dec 17 74 8 3
2017 Dec 18
74 25 5
2017 Dec 19 74 10 3
2017
Dec 20 74 8 3
2017 Dec 21 74
8 3
2017 Dec 22 74 5 2
2017 Dec 23
74 5 2
2017 Dec 24 72 5 2
2017
Dec 25 72 5 2
2017 Dec 26 72
5 2
2017 Dec 27 70 12 4
2017 Dec 28
70 8 3
2017 Dec 29 70 5 2
2017
Dec 30 70 5 2
2017 Dec 31 70
10 3
2018 Jan 01 70 26 5
2018 Jan 02
70 14 4
2018 Jan 03 70 10 3
2018
Jan 04 70 5 2
2018 Jan 05 70
5 2
2018 Jan 06 72 5 2
(SWPC via
DXLD)