lunedì 6 giugno 2022

Propagation outlook from SWPC

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Jun 06 0147 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
30 May - 05 June 2022

Solar activity ranged from very low to low levels throughout the
highlight period. On 30 May, Region 3019 (N11, L=042, class/area
Cro/030 on 21 May) produced a C1.5 flare at 30/0027 UTC. Weak
C-class activity was also observed from Region 3029 (S18, L=199,
class/area Axx/010 on 04 Jun) on 02 Jun and 04 Jun. A 6 degree long
filament erupted at 31/2351 UTC, centered near S11W08. A CME was
detected in STEREO imagery, first visible at 01/0224 UTC, with a
possible Earth-directed component. Another filament eruption was
observed at 02/0500 UTC. This 20 degree long filament was centered
near S35W35 with a subsequent CME detected in LASCO imagery at
02/0612 UTC and with a possible Earth-directed conponent.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels through the period. A maximum of 9,720 pfu was observed
at 03/1515 UTC.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
Isolated unsettled levels were observed on 30-31 May due to
recurrent, negative polarity CH HSS influence. Quiet levels were
observed on 01-05 Jun.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 June - 02 July 2022

Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels through
the outlook period. A chance for moderate levels exists on 08-24 Jun
due to the return of old Regions 3014 (N22, L=104) and 3017 (N12,
L=089), both M-class flare producers on their last transit.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 26-30 Jun and 01-02 Jul due to CH
HSS effects. Normal to moderate levels are anticipated on 06-25 Jun.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 13-17 Jun and 23-26 Jun due to recurrent CH HSS
influences. Mostly quiet conditions are expected to prevail
throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Jun 06 0147 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-06-06
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Jun 06 100 5 2
2022 Jun 07 105 5 2
2022 Jun 08 105 5 2
2022 Jun 09 105 5 2
2022 Jun 10 110 5 2
2022 Jun 11 110 5 2
2022 Jun 12 110 5 2
2022 Jun 13 110 12 3
2022 Jun 14 110 8 3
2022 Jun 15 115 12 3
2022 Jun 16 115 10 3
2022 Jun 17 115 8 3
2022 Jun 18 120 5 2
2022 Jun 19 125 5 2
2022 Jun 20 125 5 2
2022 Jun 21 120 5 2
2022 Jun 22 110 5 2
2022 Jun 23 100 12 3
2022 Jun 24 100 18 4
2022 Jun 25 100 10 3
2022 Jun 26 100 8 3
2022 Jun 27 100 5 2
2022 Jun 28 100 5 2
2022 Jun 29 100 5 2
2022 Jun 30 100 5 2
2022 Jul 01 100 5 2
2022 Jul 02 100 5 2