:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Nov 14 0648 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 07 - 13 November 2016
Solar activity was very low through the
period with only a few
low-level B-class flares observed from Regions 2605
(N07, L=191,
class/area Cro/030 on 31 October), 2607 (S17, L=143,
class/area
Dai/100 on 11 November), and 2610 (N15, L=022, class/area Cro/030
on
12 November). No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CME)
were
observed in available satellite imagery during the reporting period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
normal to
moderate levels on 09, and 11-12 November and high levels
on 07-08, 10, and
13 November. The maximum flux of 10,253 pfu was
observed at 13/1825 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels with
an
isolated period of G1 (Minor) storming reported during the
11/0000-0300
UTC synoptic period in response to a negative polarity
coronal hole high
speed stream. Solar wind speed increased steadily
from background levels near
300 km/s to a peak of 767 km/s towards
the end of the period. Total field
ranged between 3 and 16 nT while
the Bz component reached a maximum southward
deviation of -11 nT.
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels on
07-09 November,
quiet to active levels on 10 and 12-13 November, and quiet to
G1
(Minor) levels on 11 November.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC
ACTIVITY 14 NOV - 10 DEC 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very
low levels with a slight
chance for C-class flares over the forecast period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at
normal to moderate levels with high levels likely
on 14-19, 22 November - 05
December, 07 and 10 December due to
recurrent CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to
active
levels on 14-15, 19-29 November, and 07-10 December with G1
(Minor)
geomagnetic storm levels likely on 21-23 and 25 November,
G2
(Moderate) levels likely on 21-22 November, and G3 (Strong)
levels
likely on 21 November due to recurrent CH HSS
effects.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Nov 14 0648 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of
Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and
SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-11-14
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Nov 14 75
15 4
2016 Nov 15 75 10 3
2016 Nov 16
75 5 2
2016 Nov 17 75 5 2
2016
Nov 18 75 5 2
2016 Nov 19 75
10 3
2016 Nov 20 75 15 4
2016 Nov 21
75 55 7
2016 Nov 22 75 45 6
2016
Nov 23 75 25 5
2016 Nov 24 75
18 4
2016 Nov 25 78 25 5
2016 Nov 26
78 18 4
2016 Nov 27 80 12 4
2016
Nov 28 82 10 3
2016 Nov 29 82
8 3
2016 Nov 30 82 5 2
2016 Dec 01
82 5 2
2016 Dec 02 84 5 2
2016
Dec 03 82 5 2
2016 Dec 04 82
5 2
2016 Dec 05 82 5 2
2016 Dec 06
82 5 2
2016 Dec 07 82 15 4
2016
Dec 08 80 12 4
2016 Dec 09 80
18 4
2016 Dec 10 78 20 4
(SWPC via
DXLD)
