:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Sep 05 0405 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 29 August - 04 September 2016
Solar activity was at low levels
from 29-31 Aug. Regions 2583 (N13,
L=025, class/area Dao/130 on 29 Aug) and
2585 (N08, L=222,
class/area Ekc/590 on 03 Sep) were responsible for the
C-class
activity. Activity dropped to very low levels for the remainder
of
the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
No proton events
were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels on 29 Aug and 02-04 Sep due
to CH HSS influence.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to
unsettled levels on 29-31
Aug with active conditions late on 30 Aug due to CH
HSS effects.
Mostly active to major storm conditions were observed on 01-03
Sep
due to effects from an extension of the northern polar coronal
hole.
Active to minor storm levels prevailed on 04 Sep due to continued
CH
HSS effects.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 5
SEPTEMBER-1 OCTOBER 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to
low levels
throughout the forecast period.
No proton events are
expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high to very high levels on 05-12
Sep due to CH
HSS influence. Normal to moderate levels are expected from
13-20 Sep
and 26-28 Sep. High levels are expected on 21-25 Sep and 29
Sep-01
Oct due to effects from anticipated recurrent CH HSS events.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to
active
levels on 05-06 Sep with minor storms expected early on 05 Sep as
CH
HSS effects continue. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected
on
07-08 Sep as effects begin to subside. Mostly quiet conditions
are
expected from 09-18 Sep with isolated unsettled periods likely on
13,
14 and 17 Sep due to weak recurrent CH HSS events. Quiet to
unsettled levels
are expected on 19-21 Sep with active periods
possible on 19 Sep due to
effects from a recurrent, negative
polarity CH HSS. Mostly quiet conditions
are expected from 22-25
Sep. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on
26-27 Sep
followed by active to major storm levels from 26 Sep-01 Oct due
to
effects from the northern polar coronal hole extension.
:Product:
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Sep 05 0405
UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction
Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-09-05
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Sep 05 98
20 5
2016 Sep 06 98 12 4
2016 Sep 07
98 10 3
2016 Sep 08 95 10 3
2016
Sep 09 95 5 2
2016 Sep 10 90
5 2
2016 Sep 11 90 5 2
2016 Sep 12
95 5 2
2016 Sep 13 100 10 4
2016
Sep 14 100 8 3
2016 Sep 15 105
5 2
2016 Sep 16 108 5 2
2016 Sep 17
108 8 3
2016 Sep 18 108 5 2
2016
Sep 19 108 15 4
2016 Sep 20 110
12 4
2016 Sep 21 105 8 3
2016 Sep 22
110 5 2
2016 Sep 23 112 5 2
2016
Sep 24 112 5 2
2016 Sep 25 108
5 2
2016 Sep 26 105 12 4
2016 Sep 27
105 8 3
2016 Sep 28 100 35 6
2016
Sep 29 95 38 6
2016 Sep 30 95
40 6
2016 Oct 01 95 25 5
(SWPC via
DXLD)
