:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Sep 19 0130 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 12 - 18 September 2016
Solar activity was at very low levels
throughout the period. Region
2585 (N08, L=222, class/area=Ekc/590 on 03 Sep)
was the largest and
most magnetically complex region on the disk this week,
however, the
region only produced low-level B-class flare activity
before
rotating out of view early in the period. Region 2592 (N14,
L=027,
class/area=Bxo/10 on 18 Sep) produced several low-level
B-class
flares in the latter half of the week, but was relatively
simple
throughout the period. No Earth-directed coronal mass
ejections
(CMEs) were observed this period.
No proton events were
observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 12-14 Sep, moderate levels on 18
Sep, and were at
normal levels on 15-17 Sep.
Geomagnetic field
activity was quiet on 13, 16-27 Sep and quiet to
unsettled on 12, 14-15, and
18 Sep under a mostly nominal solar wind
regime.
FORECAST OF SOLAR
AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 19 SEPT - 15 OCT 2016
Solar activity is expected
to be at very low levels with a change
for C-class flares throughout the
period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
is
expected to reach very high levels on 02-05 Oct with high
levels
expected on 21-25, 29 Sep-01 Oct, and 06-11 Oct following solar
wind
enhancements associated with the influence of multiple coronal
hole
high speed streams. Electron flux is expected to be at normal
or
normal to moderate levels throughout the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G2
(Moderate)
geomagnetic storm levels on 28-30 Sep and G1 (Minor) storm levels
on
19-20 Sep and 01 Oct due to the anticipated influence of
multiple,
recurrent coronal hole high speed streams. Active conditions
are
expected on 21 Sep and 02-05 Oct with generally quiet or quiet
to
unsettled conditions likely throughout the remainder of the
period.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued:
2016 Sep 19 0130 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space
Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the
Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-09-19
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Sep 19 85
18 5
2016 Sep 20 85 20 5
2016 Sep 21
85 12 4
2016 Sep 22 85 8 3
2016
Sep 23 85 5 2
2016 Sep 24 88
5 2
2016 Sep 25 90 5 2
2016 Sep 26
95 15 3
2016 Sep 27 100 10 3
2016
Sep 28 100 35 6
2016 Sep 29 100
35 6
2016 Sep 30 100 35 6
2016 Oct 01
95 30 5
2016 Oct 02 95 18 4
2016
Oct 03 90 15 4
2016 Oct 04 90
15 4
2016 Oct 05 90 15 4
2016 Oct 06
90 5 2
2016 Oct 07 85 5 2
2016
Oct 08 85 5 2
2016 Oct 09 85
5 2
2016 Oct 10 85 5 2
2016 Oct 11
85 5 2
2016 Oct 12 85 5 2
2016
Oct 13 85 5 2
2016 Oct 14 80
5 2
2016 Oct 15 80 5 2
(SWPC via
DXLD)
