Solar activity forecast for the period June 17 - June 23,
2016
Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux
(1.0-8.0 A): in the range A7.5-B2.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in
the range 70-100 f.u.
Events: class C (0-3/day), class M (0-1/period), class
X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range
10-60
Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept.,
Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period June 17 - June 23, 2016
Quiet: Jun
18 - 21
Unsettled: Jun 17, 22 - 23
Active: possible Jun 16 and
23
Minor storm: 0
Major storm:0
Severe storm: 0
Geomagnetic
activity summary:
We expect active conditions at the ranges of forecasted
week. Today
(Thursday, June 16), an isolated active episode is possible. The
same
conditions are possible about June 22 - 23.
Between these possible
episodes, we expect at most quiet to unsettled
conditions.
Tomas
Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department
of Geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)
Geomagnetic activity forecast
for the period June 17 - July 13, 2016
Geomagnetic field will
be:
quiet on June 21 - 22
mostly quiet on June 19 - 20, 29 - 30, July 1, 5
- 6
quiet to unsettled on June 25, 28, July 4, 7, 10, 13
quiet to active
on June 17 - 18, 23 - 24, 26 - 27, July 8 - 9, 11 - 12
active to disturbed on
June (18), July 2 - 3
Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes
are expected:
on June 17 - 18, 23 - 24, 26 - 27, July 2 - 3, 8 -
12
Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
Petr Kolman, OK1MGW
Czech Propagation Interested
Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail:
kolmanp(at)razdva.cz
