:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jun 13 0444 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 06 - 12 June 2016
Solar activity was at very low levels from
06-08 June and again on
10 June. Low levels were reached on 09 June and again
from 11-12
June due to C-class flare activity from Region 2552 (N15,
L=359,
class/area Dao/150 on 11 June). The largest flare of the period
was
a C6 at 11/2228 UTC. Region 2552 grew rapidly since its emergence
on
07 June to a compact beta-delta magnetic class, but appeared to be
in
decay by 11 Jun as it neared the NW limb. No Earth-directed
coronal mass
ejections were observed during the period.
No proton events were
observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at
moderate levels on 06 June and again from 11-12
June. High levels
were reached from 07-10 June with a peak flux of 1,590 pfu
observed
at 10/1520 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet
to G2-Moderate
geomagnetic storm levels during the period. The period began
with
solar wind speeds near 650 km/s and total field values near 7
nT
while the Bz component fluctuated between +/- 6 nT under the
slowly
waning influence of a negative polarity coronal hole high
speed
stream (CH HSS). As a result, mostly active levels and an
isolated
G2-Moderate storm period were observed during the first half of
the
UTC day on 06 June. Solar wind speeds continued to decrease to
nominal
levels by 10 June. Quiet to unsettled conditions were
observed on 07 June
with quiet conditions on 08-09 June. By midday
on 10 June, a solar sector
boundary crossing was observed into a
positive (away) sector followed by an
increase in total field to 14
nT by late on 10 June. A lesser rise in solar
wind speed to near 540
km/s was observed as a positive polarity CH HSS moved
into a
geoeffective position. Solar wind speeds continued to be elevated
in
the 450 km/s to 550 km/s range for the rest of the period with
total
field ranging between 7-10 nT. The geomagnetic field responded
with
quiet to active periods on 10-11 June and quiet to unsettled
levels
on 12 June.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 13 JUNE
- 09 JULY 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels
for the
forecast period.
No proton events are expected at
geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at high levels on 17-18 June, 26
June-01 July and
04-07 July in response to CH HSS activity.
The
geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 13,
15-17, 22-24, 26-27 June and from 02-03, 07-09 July
with G1-Minor storming
likely on 02-03 July due to recurrent CH HSS activity.
:Product: 27-day
Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Jun 13 0444 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-06-13
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Jun 13 92
8 3
2016 Jun 14 92 5 2
2016 Jun 15
92 8 3
2016 Jun 16 95 12 4
2016
Jun 17 95 8 3
2016 Jun 18 95
5 2
2016 Jun 19 95 5 2
2016 Jun 20
95 5 2
2016 Jun 21 95 5 2
2016
Jun 22 92 5 2
2016 Jun 23 90
10 3
2016 Jun 24 85 12 4
2016 Jun 25
85 8 3
2016 Jun 26 85 10 3
2016
Jun 27 85 10 3
2016 Jun 28 85
5 2
2016 Jun 29 85 5 2
2016 Jun 30
85 5 2
2016 Jul 01 80 5 2
2016
Jul 02 80 25 5
2016 Jul 03 80
20 5
2016 Jul 04 80 8 3
2016 Jul 05
80 5 2
2016 Jul 06 85 5 2
2016
Jul 07 85 8 3
2016 Jul 08 85
10 3
2016 Jul 09 85 8 3
(SWPC via
DXLD)
