:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jun 06 0156 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 30 May - 05 June 2016
Solar activity ranged from very low to low
levels. Low activity was
observed on 30 May with a pair of C1/Sf flares
observed from Region
2550 (N15, L=114, class/area Cro/020 on 31 May). Very
low levels
were observed on 31 May and 01-05 Jun. Of note, the first
spotless
day since 17 Jul 2014 was observed on 03 Jun.
No proton
events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels on 30 May - 04 Jun
with moderate levels observed on 05
Jun.
Geomagnetic field activity
ranged from quiet to minor storm
(G1-Minor) levels. Quiet to active levels
were observed on 30-31 May
due to negative polarity coronal hole high speed
stream (CH HSS)
influence. During this time frame, wind speeds peaked at
about 575
km/s early on 30 May while the Bz component of the
interplanetary
magnetic field reached a maximum southward of extent of -6 nT
late
on 31 May. Quiet conditions were observed on 01 Jun through midday
on
05 Jun. Active to G1 storm levels were observed through the
remainder of 05
Jun due to effects from another negative polarity CH
HSS. Late on 05 Jun,
wind speeds approached 650 km/s, total field
reached 19 nT while the Bz
component briefly hit a maximum southward
extent of -15 nT.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 06 JUNE - 02 JULY
2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with
C-class
activity possible throughout the outlook period.
No proton
events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be reach high levels on
07-09, 12-16, 26-30 Jun and 01
Jul. Normal to moderate levels are expected
throughout the remainder
of the outlook period.
Geomagnetic field
activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) levels on
06 Jun and 02 Jul with
unsettled to active levels expected on 12-15,
17-18, 23-24 and 26-27 Jun, all
due to the influence of multiple
recurrent CH HSSs. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected
throughout the remainder of the outlook period under
a nominal solar
wind regime.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook
Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2016 Jun 06 0156 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of
Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and
SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-06-06
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Jun 06 78
20 5
2016 Jun 07 78 8 3
2016 Jun 08
82 5 2
2016 Jun 09 82 5 2
2016
Jun 10 82 5 2
2016 Jun 11 85
5 2
2016 Jun 12 85 12 4
2016 Jun 13
85 12 4
2016 Jun 14 85 8 3
2016
Jun 15 90 8 3
2016 Jun 16 90
5 2
2016 Jun 17 90 15 5
2016 Jun 18
90 10 3
2016 Jun 19 90 5 2
2016
Jun 20 90 5 2
2016 Jun 21 85
5 2
2016 Jun 22 85 5 2
2016 Jun 23
85 10 3
2016 Jun 24 85 12 4
2016
Jun 25 80 8 3
2016 Jun 26 80
10 3
2016 Jun 27 80 10 3
2016 Jun 28
80 5 2
2016 Jun 29 78 5 2
2016
Jun 30 78 5 2
2016 Jul 01 78
5 2
2016 Jul 02 78 25 5
(SWPC via
DXLD)
