lunedì 28 febbraio 2022

Propagation outlook from SWPC

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Feb 28 0132 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
21 - 27 February 2022

Solar activity ranged from very low to low levels throughout the
week. Regions 2954 (N17, L=118, class/area=Hsx/120 on 21 Feb) and
2955 (N14, L=107, class/area=Hsx/150 on 22 Feb) were the primary
regions on the disk, but remained quiescent throughout the period.
No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 26 Feb, and was normal to moderate throughout the
remainder of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels on 21 Feb and Minor
(G1) geomagnetic storm levels on 22 Feb due to the influence of a
positive polarity CH HSS. Active conditions were once again observed
on 27 Feb due to another geoeffective positive polarity CH HSS.
Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions were observed throughout the
remainder of the week under a background solar wind environment.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 February - 26 March 2022

Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-class
flares throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 28 Feb-08 Mar, 12-17 and 20-22 Mar
in response to enhanced solar wind conditions associated with
recurrent CH HSSs.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach active levels on 28
Feb-01 Mar, 05-06, 11-12, and 19-21 Mar due to multiple recurrent CH
HSSs. Quiet and quiet to unsettled field activity is expected to
prevail throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Feb 28 0132 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-02-28
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Feb 28 99 15 4
2022 Mar 01 102 15 4
2022 Mar 02 105 8 3
2022 Mar 03 105 8 3
2022 Mar 04 105 10 3
2022 Mar 05 102 12 4
2022 Mar 06 102 12 4
2022 Mar 07 101 5 2
2022 Mar 08 101 5 2
2022 Mar 09 101 5 2
2022 Mar 10 100 5 2
2022 Mar 11 99 15 4
2022 Mar 12 99 12 4
2022 Mar 13 99 8 3
2022 Mar 14 98 5 2
2022 Mar 15 95 8 3
2022 Mar 16 95 5 2
2022 Mar 17 96 5 2
2022 Mar 18 97 10 3
2022 Mar 19 98 15 4
2022 Mar 20 99 15 4
2022 Mar 21 100 15 4
2022 Mar 22 100 7 2
2022 Mar 23 101 7 2
2022 Mar 24 102 7 2
2022 Mar 25 102 5 2
2022 Mar 26 102 10 3