lunedì 6 settembre 2021

Propagation outlook from SWPC

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2021 Sep 06 0143 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
30 August - 05 September 2021

Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2860 (S29, L=01, class/area
Eac/240 on 30 Aug) was the most active region on the disk producing
several C-class flares. The largest flare was a C3.0/SN optical at
30/2134 UTC from Region 2860. No notable CME activity was observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
moderate to high levels on 30 Aug-03 Sep, 05 Sep. Normal to moderate
levels were observed on 04 Sep.

Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels on 30-31
Aug, 03 Sep, and 05 Sep. Quiet levels were observed on 01-02 Sep,
and 04 Sep.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
06 September - 02 October 2021

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance
for M-class activity on 16-29 Sep due to the possible return of
Region 2860. The remainder of the highlight period is expected to be
at very low to low levels.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at normal to moderate levels from 06-23 Sep. Moderate
to levels are expected on 24 Sep-02 Oct due to recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream influences.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled
levels with a chance for active levels on 21 Sep and 02 Oct due to
recurrent CH HSS influences. Quiet levels are expected for the
remainder of the outlook period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2021 Sep 06 0143 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2021-09-06
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2021 Sep 06 90 8 3
2021 Sep 07 90 5 2
2021 Sep 08 90 5 2
2021 Sep 09 90 5 2
2021 Sep 10 92 5 2
2021 Sep 11 90 5 2
2021 Sep 12 85 5 2
2021 Sep 13 85 5 2
2021 Sep 14 85 5 2
2021 Sep 15 85 5 2
2021 Sep 16 85 5 2
2021 Sep 17 85 5 2
2021 Sep 18 85 5 2
2021 Sep 19 88 5 2
2021 Sep 20 88 5 2
2021 Sep 21 88 8 3
2021 Sep 22 88 5 2
2021 Sep 23 86 5 2
2021 Sep 24 90 5 2
2021 Sep 25 90 5 2
2021 Sep 26 90 5 2
2021 Sep 27 90 5 2
2021 Sep 28 90 5 2
2021 Sep 29 88 5 2
2021 Sep 30 88 5 2
2021 Oct 01 88 5 2
2021 Oct 02 88 8 3