lunedì 28 dicembre 2020

Propagation outlook from SWPC Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2020 Dec 28 0139 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
21 - 27 December 2020

Solar activity was at very low levels from 21-27 Dec. The largest
flare observed was a B7.3 from Region 2795 (S18, L=318, class/area
Dao/200 on 24 Dec) on 24 Dec. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
moderate to high levels on 24-27 Dec due to CH HSS influence. Normal
to moderate levels were observed on 21-23 Dec.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active levels on 21 and 23 Dec,
and unsettled levels on 22, 24-25 Dec, all due to positive polarity
CH HSS influences. Quiet levels were observed on 26-27 Dec.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 December - 23 January 2021

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the
period with a slight chance for low levels on 28 Dec - 04 Jan, and
17-23 Jan due to the flare potential from Region 2795 (S18, L=318,
class/area Dao/200 on 24 Dec).

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at moderate to high levels on 28-29 Dec and 20-23 Jan
due to recurrent CH HSS influences. Normal to moderate levels are
expected for the remainder of the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at unsettled to active
levels on 5-6 Jan and 18-20 Jan, and quiet to unsettled levels on 29
Dec, 3 Jan, and 21 Jan, all due to recurrent CH HSS influences.
Mostly quiet levels are expected on the remaining days in the
outlook period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2020 Dec 28 0139 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2020-12-28
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2020 Dec 28 88 5 2
2020 Dec 29 88 8 3
2020 Dec 30 88 5 2
2020 Dec 31 88 5 2
2021 Jan 01 88 5 2
2021 Jan 02 87 5 2
2021 Jan 03 86 8 3
2021 Jan 04 85 5 2
2021 Jan 05 84 10 3
2021 Jan 06 84 10 3
2021 Jan 07 84 5 2
2021 Jan 08 84 5 2
2021 Jan 09 84 5 2
2021 Jan 10 84 5 2
2021 Jan 11 84 5 2
2021 Jan 12 84 5 2
2021 Jan 13 84 5 2
2021 Jan 14 84 5 2
2021 Jan 15 85 5 2
2021 Jan 16 86 5 2
2021 Jan 17 84 5 2
2021 Jan 18 88 10 3
2021 Jan 19 88 10 3
2021 Jan 20 88 10 3
2021 Jan 21 88 8 3
2021 Jan 22 88 5 2
2021 Jan 23 88 5 2