lunedì 28 ottobre 2019

Propagtion outlook from Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2019 Oct 28 0109 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
21 - 27 October 2019

Solar activity was very low. The solar disk was spotless throughout
the period. A faint, slow-moving, possibly Earth-directed CME was
observed in satellite imagery at 25/0654 UTC, with a potential
arrival late on 29 Oct or early on 30 Oct.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 25-27 Oct with a peak flux of 36,223 pfu observed at
27/1900 UTC. Electron flux was at normal levels throughout the
remainder of the reporting period.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G2 (Moderate) storm levels on 25
Oct, G1 (Minor) storm levels on 26 Oct, and active levels on 24 Oct
in response to a recurrent, positive-polarity CH HSS. Quiet to
unsettled conditions were observed throughout the remainder of the
period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 October - 23 November 2019

Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the
outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 28-31 Oct, and 21-23 Nov, with
moderate levels on 01-15, and 20 Nov, in response to coronal hole
high speed stream (CH HSS) influence.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm
levels on 21-22 Nov, with active levels on 28-30 Oct, and 20, 23
Nov, due to recurrent CH HSS activity. Quiet to unsettled conditions
are anticipated throughout the remainder of the outlook period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2019 Oct 28 0109 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2019-10-28
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2019 Oct 28      70          12          4
2019 Oct 29      70          12          4
2019 Oct 30      70          12          4
2019 Oct 31      70           8          3
2019 Nov 01      70           8          3
2019 Nov 02      70           5          2
2019 Nov 03      70           5          2
2019 Nov 04      70           5          2
2019 Nov 05      70           5          2
2019 Nov 06      70           5          2
2019 Nov 07      70           5          2
2019 Nov 08      70           5          2
2019 Nov 09      70           5          2
2019 Nov 10      69           5          2
2019 Nov 11      69           5          2
2019 Nov 12      69           5          2
2019 Nov 13      69           5          2
2019 Nov 14      69           5          2
2019 Nov 15      69           5          2
2019 Nov 16      69           5          2
2019 Nov 17      69           5          2
2019 Nov 18      69           5          2
2019 Nov 19      69           5          2
2019 Nov 20      69          15          4
2019 Nov 21      69          25          5
2019 Nov 22      69          18          5
2019 Nov 23      70          12          4
(SWPC via DXLD)