:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Oct 09 0306 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 02 - 08 October 2017
Solar activity was at low levels. Region
2683 (N13, L=111,
class/area Cko/330 on 03 Oct) produced the strongest flare
of the
period, a C1 at 05/1341 UTC. All regions remained relatively
simple
as they rotated off the visible disk, leaving no sunspots groups
by
the end of the reporting period. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed
in available coronagraph imagery.
No proton events were observed at
geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit ranged
from moderate to high levels. High levels were
observed from 02-05
Oct while moderate levels were observed from 06-08 Oct.
High levels
were associated with activity from a positive polarity CH HSS.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to active levels. A
single
active period was observed on 02 Oct from the influence of
a
positive polarity CH HSS. Quiet to unsettled levels were observed
from
03-06 Oct while only quiet conditions were observed for the
remainder of the
reporting period.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 09
OCTOBER-04 NOVEMBER 2017
Solar activity is expected to be at very low
levels throughout the
outlook period.
No proton events are expected
at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is
expected to range from normal background to very high
levels. Very
high levels are expected on 27 Oct; high levels are expected
on
12-21 Oct, 25-26 Oct and 28 Oct - 01 Nov; moderate levels on 09-11
Oct,
23-24 Oct and 02-04 Nov. Normal levels are expected on 22 Oct.
All
enhancements in electron flux are anticipated from multiple,
recurrent CH
HSSs.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to
G2
(Moderate) geomagnetic storm levels. G2 (Moderate) conditions
are
likely on 13 Oct and 24-25 Oct; G1 (Minor) conditions on 11-12 Oct
and
14 Oct; active levels on 15 Oct and 26-27 Oct; unsettled
conditions on 10
Oct, 16 Oct, 28-29 Oct and 01-02 Nov. All
enhancements in geomagnetic
activity is anticipated in response to
multiple, recurrent CH HSSs. The
remainder of the outlook period is
expected to be at quiet levels under a
nominal solar wind
environment.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook
Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Oct 09 0306 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of
Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and
SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2017-10-09
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2017 Oct 09 76
5 2
2017 Oct 10 74 8 3
2017 Oct 11
74 25 5
2017 Oct 12 74 30 5
2017
Oct 13 74 36 6
2017 Oct 14 74
28 5
2017 Oct 15 74 16 4
2017 Oct 16
74 8 3
2017 Oct 17 74 5 2
2017
Oct 18 74 5 2
2017 Oct 19 76
5 2
2017 Oct 20 80 5 2
2017 Oct 21
80 5 2
2017 Oct 22 80 5 2
2017
Oct 23 80 5 2
2017 Oct 24 80
35 6
2017 Oct 25 80 45 6
2017 Oct 26
80 15 4
2017 Oct 27 80 15 4
2017
Oct 28 80 10 3
2017 Oct 29 80
8 3
2017 Oct 30 80 5 2
2017 Oct 31
80 5 2
2017 Nov 01 76 8 3
2017
Nov 02 76 10 3
2017 Nov 03 76
5 2
2017 Nov 04 76 5 2
(SWPC via
DXLD)
