:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2015 Dec 07 0214 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 30 November - 06 December 2015
Solar activity was at low levels.
Regions 2458 (N10, L=356,
class/area Dao/160 on 24 Nov), 2462 (N09, L=216,
class/area Hax/40
on 04 Dec), 2463 (S11, L=205, class/area Dao/130 on 05 Dec)
and 2464
(S12, L=189, class/area Axx/10 on 05 Dec) each produced
C-class
flares. The largest event of the period was a C4/Sf at 1702 UTC
on
04 December. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections were
observed
during the period.
No proton events were observed at
geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was
normal levels on 30 November and reached moderate
levels on 01
December. High levels were observed from 02-04 December
before
returning to moderate levels for the remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to active with an isolated
minor
storm period from 0600-0900 UTC on 30 November due to effects
from a positive
polarity coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS).
Quiet to active levels were
observed on 01 December as HSS influence
continued. Predominately quiet
conditions were observed from 02-04
December with some unsettled periods on
02 and 04 December. Quiet to
active levels returned on 05 December due to
effects from a
co-rotating interaction region (CIR) ahead of a second
positive
polarity CH HSS. Unsettled to active conditions dominated
06
December with an isolated minor storm period observed from
0900-1200
UTC.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 07 DECEMBER
- 02 JANUARY 2016
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low
levels
throughout the forecast period.
No proton events are expected
at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at normal to moderate levels for the
majority of the
period with high levels likely on 08-09 December, 11-15
December and
29-31 December following anticipated recurrent CH HSS events.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach minor storm levels
on
07 and 08 December due to continued effects from a positive
polarity CH HSS.
Predominately unsettled to active conditions are
expected to from 09-13
December with minor storm periods possible as
HSS effects persist. Mostly
quiet levels are expected from 14-26
December. Quiet to active conditions are
likely on 27 and 28
December due effects from a second recurrent CH HSS
followed by
quiet to unsettled conditions on 29 December as influence
subsides.
Quiet conditions are expected on 30-31 December. Unsettled to
active
conditions are expected on 01 January with minor storm levels
likely
on 02 January as a third recurrent CH HSS moves into a
geoeffective
position.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Dec 07 0214 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of
Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and
SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2015-12-07
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2015 Dec 07 100
25 5
2015 Dec 08 100 20 5
2015 Dec 09
105 15 3
2015 Dec 10 105 15 3
2015
Dec 11 105 15 3
2015 Dec 12 105
15 3
2015 Dec 13 105 15 3
2015 Dec 14
105 8 3
2015 Dec 15 105 5 2
2015
Dec 16 100 10 4
2015 Dec 17 95
8 3
2015 Dec 18 95 5 2
2015 Dec 19
100 5 2
2015 Dec 20 100 5 2
2015
Dec 21 100 5 2
2015 Dec 22 100
5 2
2015 Dec 23 100 5 2
2015 Dec 24
100 5 2
2015 Dec 25 100 5 2
2015
Dec 26 100 5 2
2015 Dec 27 98
18 4
2015 Dec 28 95 15 3
2015 Dec 29
95 10 3
2015 Dec 30 98 5 2
2015
Dec 31 100 5 2
2016 Jan 01 105
15 3
2016 Jan 02 105 20 5
(SWPC via WORLD
OF RADIO 1803, DXLD)
