:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2015 Nov 30 0318 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 23 - 29 November 2015
Solar activity was at very low levels with
the exception of 23 and
25 November. Region 2454 (N14, L=121, class/area
Dai/150 on 23 Nov)
produced a few C-class events, the largest a C8/1f at
23/0228 UTC.
Between 24/1130-1530 UTC, SDO/AIA 193 and 304 imagery observed a
20
degree long eruption, centered near S10W00, along a NW to SE
oriented
filament channel. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections
were observed
during the period.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached
moderate levels on 23-27 November but decreased to normal levels
on
28-29 November.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels
from 23-26 November.
Mostly quiet levels were observed with a few isolated
unsettled
periods on 27-29 November and a single active period observed
during
the 29/2100-2400 UTC synoptic period due to prolonged negative
Bz
and slightly elevated solar wind speed.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 30 NOV - 26 DEC 2015
Solar activity is expected to
be at very low to low levels
throughout the forecast period.
No
proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be normal to
moderate levels for the majority of the
period with the exception of 03-05
December, 08-09 December and
11-15 December following several recurrent
coronal hole high speed
streams (CH HSS).
Geomagnetic field activity
is expected to be unsettled to active on
30 November-02 December with minor
storm periods expected on 01
December due to a recurrent positive polarity CH
HSS. Quiet to
unsettled levels are expected from 03-05 December. Isolated
active
periods are likely again on 06-07 December and 10 December as
two
subsequent positive polarity CH HSSs become geoeffective
respectively.
Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to dominate
the remainder of the
forecast period.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Nov 30 0318 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of
Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and
SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2015-11-30
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2015 Nov 30 95
12 4
2015 Dec 01 100 25 5
2015 Dec 02
105 15 4
2015 Dec 03 105 8 3
2015
Dec 04 110 8 3
2015 Dec 05 110
8 3
2015 Dec 06 110 12 4
2015 Dec 07
110 18 4
2015 Dec 08 115 10 3
2015
Dec 09 115 8 3
2015 Dec 10 115
12 4
2015 Dec 11 115 10 3
2015 Dec 12
115 8 3
2015 Dec 13 115 8 3
2015
Dec 14 110 8 3
2015 Dec 15 105
8 3
2015 Dec 16 100 10 4
2015 Dec 17
105 8 3
2015 Dec 18 105 5 2
2015
Dec 19 110 5 2
2015 Dec 20 110
5 2
2015 Dec 21 105 5 2
2015 Dec 22
100 5 2
2015 Dec 23 100 5 2
2015
Dec 24 100 8 3
2015 Dec 25 100
8 3
2015 Dec 26 100 8 3
(SWPC via
DXLD)
