:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2015 Dec 14 0121 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 07 - 13 December 2015
Solar activity was at low levels and only
C-class flare activity was
observed throughout the period, the largest of
which was a C7 flare
at 12/1346 UTC from Region 2470 (N13, L=087,
class/area=Dkc/270 on
13 Dec). No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections
(CMEs) were
observed this period.
No proton events were observed at
geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels every day of the summary period with
a peak flux of
10,700 pfu observed at 09/1455 UTC.
Geomagnetic field
activity was quiet to active levels on 07-08 Dec
due to waning coronal hole
high speed stream effects prior to the
summary period. Unsettled to active
field conditions were observed
on 10-11 Dec, with an isolated period of G1
(Minor) geomagnetic
storm levels observed between 10/0300-0600 UTC, due to
the influence
of a positive polarity coronal hole high speed stream.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 14 DEC 2015 - 9 JAN
2016
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels throughout
the
outlook period with only C-class flare activity expected.
No
proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on
14-20, 29-31 Dec and 03-09 Jan. Low
to moderate electron flux levels are
expected throughout the
remainder of the period.
Geomagnetic field
activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storm levels on 16 Dec and
06 Jan due to the influence of recurrent
coronal hole high speed streams.
Active field conditions are likely
on 15, 17-18, 27-28 Dec and 01, 03-04,
07-08 Dec due to coronal hole
high speed stream effects. Quiet to unsettled
levels are expected
for the remainder of the period.
:Product: 27-day
Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2015 Dec 14 0121 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2015-12-14
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2015 Dec 14 125
8 3
2015 Dec 15 130 18 4
2015 Dec 16
130 25 5
2015 Dec 17 130 18 4
2015
Dec 18 125 12 4
2015 Dec 19 125
8 3
2015 Dec 20 125 5 2
2015 Dec 21
120 5 2
2015 Dec 22 115 5 2
2015
Dec 23 115 5 2
2015 Dec 24 115
5 2
2015 Dec 25 110 5 2
2015 Dec 26
105 5 2
2015 Dec 27 98 18 4
2015
Dec 28 95 15 4
2015 Dec 29 95
10 3
2015 Dec 30 98 5 2
2015 Dec 31
98 5 2
2016 Jan 01 100 15 4
2016
Jan 02 100 20 5
2016 Jan 03 105
18 4
2016 Jan 04 110 10 4
2016 Jan 05
110 8 3
2016 Jan 06 110 20 5
2016
Jan 07 115 18 4
2016 Jan 08 115
12 4
2016 Jan 09 115 10 3
(SWPC via
DXLD)
