venerdì 24 luglio 2015

Solar activity forecast for the period July 24 - 30, 2015

Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B1.0-B7.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-120 f.u.
Events: class C (0-8/day), class M (0-4/period), class X (0/period),
        proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 10-80

Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period July 24 - 30, 2015

During the first half of forecasted week, we expect at most unsettled
conditions. Sunday, July 26, and Monday, July 27, quiet to unsettled
conditions are probable.  The last days of forecasted week, local
geomagnetic field at the Budkov observatory should be quiet.

Tomas Bayer
Institute of Geophysics ASCR
Budkov Geomagnetic Observatory (BDV)
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period July 24 - August 18, 2015

Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on July 27, 29, August 4, 12 - 14, (18)
mostly quiet on July 26, 28, August 3, 5, 11, 15, (17)
quiet to unsettled on July 25, August 7, 10, 16
quiet to active on July 24, 30, August 2, 6, 9
active to disturbed on July 31, August 1, 7(-8)

Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on July 24 - 25, (26,)
August (1 - 5, 8,) 9 - 10

Remarks:
- Reliability of predictions remains reduced in pesent solar cycle phase.
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz