Solar activity forecast for the period July 10 - 16, 2015
Activity level:
mostly low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B2.5-B9.0
Radio
flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 95-135 f.u.
Events: class C
(0-12/day), class M (0-6/period), class X (0/period),
proton
(0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 20-95
Jozef
Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech
Republic
e-mail:
sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period July 10 - 16, 2015
At the Friday, July
10, we expect at most unsettled conditions. Next day,
Saturday, July 11,
active episode is expected (geomagnetic conditions can
reach minor storm
level but for Budkov observatory, K-index = 4 is more
probable).
At the
July 12-13, unsettled conditions are most probable. Tuesday, July
14, we
expect at most unsettled conditions with possible active period.
The last
days of forecasted week, quiet to unsettled conditions are
probable.
Tomas Bayer
Institute of Geophysics ASCR
Budkov
Geomagnetic Observatory
(BDV)
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period July 10 - Aug 5, 2015
Geomagnetic field
will be:
quiet on July 15
mostly quiet on July 16 - 17, 26 - 29, Aug 3 -
5
quiet to unsettled on July 10, 13 - 14, 18, 22 - 25, Aug 1 - 2
quiet to
active on July 11 - 12, 19 - 21, 30 - 31
active to disturbed on July
(11)
Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on July 10 - 12, 30 -
31
Remark:
- Reliability of predictions remains more reduced than
before.
Petr Kolman, OK1MGW, Czech Propagation Interest Group
(OK1HH
& OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: kolmanp(at)razdva.cz
