lunedì 7 marzo 2022

Propagation outlook from SWPC

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2022 Mar 07 0141 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
28 February - 06 March 2022

Solar activity ranged from very low to moderate levels throughout
the week. The largest event of the period was an M2/1b flare
observed at 02/1739 UTC from Region 2958 (N17, L=035,
class/area=Bxo/60 on 03 Mar). Regions 2957 (S16, L=038,
class/area=Dai/240 on 05 Mar) and 2960 (S20, L=335,
class/area=Dki/450 on 05 Mar) were the most active regions
throughout the week, but produced only C-flares. Multiple DSFs were
detected during the summary period, however, none were expected to
be Earth-directed.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 06 Mar, with normal to moderate levels observed
throughout the remainder of the week.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active and minor (G1) storm
levels on 05-06 Mar due to the influence of a series of negative
polarity CH HSSs. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions were
observed throughout the remainder of the summary period.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
07 March - 02 April 2022

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the period,
with C-flares likely and a chance for M-flares.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 07-10, 20-23 Mar, and 02 Apr.
Normal to moderate levels are expected throughout the remainder of
the outlook period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach minor (G1) storm
levels on 01-02 Apr, and active levels on 11-12, 19-21, and 31 Mar
in response to multiple CH HSSs moving through geoeffective
position. Quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to
prevail throughout the remainder of the period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2022 Mar 07 0141 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2022-03-07
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2022 Mar 07 116 10 3
2022 Mar 08 116 5 2
2022 Mar 09 115 5 2
2022 Mar 10 112 5 2
2022 Mar 11 110 15 4
2022 Mar 12 110 18 4
2022 Mar 13 110 10 3
2022 Mar 14 108 5 2
2022 Mar 15 102 5 2
2022 Mar 16 98 5 2
2022 Mar 17 99 5 2
2022 Mar 18 100 8 3
2022 Mar 19 100 12 4
2022 Mar 20 100 12 4
2022 Mar 21 100 15 4
2022 Mar 22 101 7 2
2022 Mar 23 103 7 2
2022 Mar 24 104 7 2
2022 Mar 25 104 5 2
2022 Mar 26 104 10 3
2022 Mar 27 104 8 3
2022 Mar 28 110 5 2
2022 Mar 29 115 5 2
2022 Mar 30 116 10 3
2022 Mar 31 118 12 4
2022 Apr 01 119 25 5
2022 Apr 02 120 20 5