martedì 6 dicembre 2016

Weekly Forecasts Bulletin

Solar activity forecast for the period December 2 - December 8, 2016


Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A8.0-B2.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 70-95 f.u.
Events: class C (0-4/day), class M (0-2/period), class X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 0-75

Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period December 2 - December 8, 2016


Quiet: Dec 2 - 6
Unsettled: Dec 4 - 7
Active: Dec 7 - 8
Minor storm: 0
Major storm: 0
Severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary:
Till the coming Tuesday, December 6, we expect quiet to unsettled
conditions. Active episode is possible at late Dec 6, and then Dec 7 - 8.
We do not expect any storming event during the forecasted period.

Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of Geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period December 2- December 28, 2016


Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on December 2 - 5, 13 - 16, 27 - 28
mostly quiet on December 6, 12, 17, 26
quiet to unsettled on December 11, 18 - 19, 23 - 25
quiet to active on December 7 - 10, 20
active to disturbed on December 21 - 22

Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are expected:
on December 7 - 10, 17 - 23

- Reliability of predictions is reduced at present due to higher sunspot activity.


Petr Kolman, OK1MGW
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: kolmanp(at)razdva.cz