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mercoledì 2 gennaio 2019

W4HM Daily HF-MF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast #2019-2

Greetings to my fellow hamateur radio and SWL radio enthusiasts around the world.

Welcome to my “not for profit” W4HM Daily HF-MF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast.

It’s the only accurate daily global HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast produced on the planet.

I'm a heliophysicist, terrestrial/troposphere meteorologist/climatologist, physical oceanographer and one of the few on the planet with advanced education and forecast experience in all aforementioned disciplines. In terrestrial/troposphere weather forecasting I have 45 years of experience and in solar, space and geomagnetic weather forecasting 34 years.

If you find this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast useful to your

hamateur and SWL radio activities, feel free to drop me a line and let me

know that at

thomasfgiella@gmail.com

I enjoy hearing from likeminded fellow radio enthusiasts.

Hams and SWLs that are interested in solar, space & geomagnetic weather as

well as radio wave propagation are a special group of people interested in

broadening their knowledge in science.

Feel free without prior permission to redistribute this daily HF-MF radio wave

propagation forecast, as long as you redistribute it in its entirety and

give me credit for it.

Supporting images associated with this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast can be found in my Facebook account at

https://www.facebook.com/thomasfranklingiellaw4hm

and in my Twitter account at

https://twitter.com/GiellaW4hm

Last but not least here is my new HF-MF radio wave propagation web page where you can sign up to receive this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast via email.

It's a NO SPAM voluntary "opt" in email type group hosted by Groups.io, so

you have to sign up by using an existing email address and creating a

password.

https://groups.io/g/w4hmradiowavepropagationforecast

W4HM Solar Cycle 24 Update and Solar Cycle 25 Forecast- Short and to the point.

Solar minimum may begin later this year and may last longer than any previous solar cycle in the 20th century. When solar cycle 25 finally gets underway it could be the weakest since the middle of the 19th century. Another Dalton type lesser grand solar minimum may occur with a corresponding cooling of earth’s climate. This would negate anthropogenic climate change if it were occurring which it isn’t.

On February 1, 2008 I forecasted that solar cycle 24 would be the smallest solar cycle in the past 100 years. That forecast verified. I also forecasted that solar cycle 25 would be almost non nonexistent.

#2 Issued Wednesday January 2, 2019 at 1630 UTC

Important Solar, Space & Geomagnetic Weather Indices-

Solar activity was very low.

The daily solar flux index numbers (DSFI) were

71.9 71.9 73.0.

There had been 1 day with a 2000 UTC daily solar flux index number (SFI) above 70.

The official daily sunspot number (DSSN) was 13.

There had been 1 day with an official sunspot number (DSSN) above 0.

In 2019 there had been 1 day with an official daily sunspot number (DSSN) of 0.

In 2018 there had been 221 days with an official daily sunspot number (DSSN) of 0.

The 24 hour period 3 hour interval planetary K index (Kp) had been at an unsettled to quiet geomagnetic condition of

1 1 3 2 2 0 0 1.

The 24 hour period planetary A index (Ap) maximum and minimum values ranged between

12 & 0,

which had been at an unsettled to quiet geomagnetic condition.

The 24 hour period maximum and minimum Disturbance Storm Time Index (Dst) ranged between

-16 & -1 nT.

The 24 hour period maximum and minimum solar wind speed was

445 & 353 km/s.

GLOBAL (HF) HIGH FREQUENCY (3000-30000 KHZ) RADIO WAVE PROPAGATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED-

HF-MF radio wave propagation condition “trend” on Jan 2, 2019- steady.

HF-MF radio wave propagation condition “trend” on Jan 3, 2019- steady.

HF-MF radio wave propagation condition “trend” on Jan 4, 2019- minor deterioration.

Northern Hemisphere HF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast g-

We are now in the winter season northern hemisphere HF-MF radio wave propagation season.

The approximate 11000- 30000 kHz frequency range closes sooner due to less sun light illuminating the ionosphere than in the southern hemisphere. But the maximum usable frequency (MUF) is higher than in the southern hemisphere as the F layer of the ionosphere is lower in height and the ions more concentrated.

The approximately 3000-10000 kHz frequency range often stays open for DX all throughout the day due to a weaker D and E layer and therefore less RF signal absorption.

Northern Hemisphere Radio Wave Propagation Forecast g-

3150-3400, 3500-4100, 4750-5050, 5700-6300 kHz- S9 +1 to 9 at night and S1-3 at day,

6900-7800, 9200-9995, 10000-10150, 11500-12200 kHz- S9+ 1 to 9 at night and

S4-7 at day,

13570-13850, 14000-14350, 15005-15900, 17450-17950, 18068-18168 kHz- S0 at night and S3-4 at day,

21000-21850 kHz- S0 at night and S1-2 at day,

24890-24990, 25600-26100 kHz- S0 at night and S1 at day,

28000-29700 kHz- S0 at night and S0 at day.

Southern Hemisphere HF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast g-

We are now in the summer season southern hemisphere HF-MF radio wave propagation season.

The 14000- 30000 kHz frequency range closes later due to more sun light illuminating the ionosphere than in the southern hemisphere. But the maximum usable frequency (MUF) is lower than in the southern hemisphere as heating in the F2 layer of the ionosphere is higher and the layer ions less concentrated.

Almost daily during the northern hemisphere summer season you will find that the 25600- 26100 kHz and 28000-29700 kHz frequency ranges will open via short north-south and east-west propagation paths via sporadic E (Es). Also when multiple sporadic E (Es) clouds form and line up favorably much longer propagation paths open up on east-west paths. And last but not least north-south propagation paths occur across the equator via trans equatorial propagation (TEP).

3150-3400, 3500-4100, 4750-5050, 5700-6300 kHz- S9+10 at night and S3-5 at day,

6900-7800, 9200-9995, 10000-10150, 11500-12200 kHz- S9+15 at night and

S4-7 at day,

13570-13850, 14000-14350, 15005-15900, 17450-17950, 18068-18168 kHz- S1-3 at night and S5-8 at day,

21000-21850 kHz- S0 at night and S1-2 at day,

24890-24990, 25600-26100 kHz- S0 at night and S1 at day,

28000-29700 kHz- S0 at night and S0 at day.

GLOBAL (MF) MEDIUM FREQUENCY (300-3000 KHZ) RADIO WAVE PROPAGATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED-

FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SHORT PATH-

-East <-> West To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S9-+5
*North <-> South To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S6-8
+South <-> North To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S9+1

FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE SHORT PATH-

-East <-> West To 1100 Mi / 1800 km	S9+1
*South <-> North To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S6-7
+North <-> South To 1100 Mi / 1800 km	S9

FORECASTED GREAT CIRCLE LONG OR SKEWED PATH-

Northern Hemisphere (TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross Equatorial propagation conditions in excess of approximately 3200 mi / 5200 km-

High Latitude	S4-6
Mid Latitude	S9+10
Low latitude	S7-8

FORECASTED GREAT CIRCLE LONG OR SKEWED PATH-

Southern Hemisphere (TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross Equatorial propagation conditions in excess of approximately 3200 mi / 5200 km-

High Latitude	S2-4
Mid Latitude	S6-7
Low latitude	S3-5

This HF-MF Radio wave propagation forecast is produced based on the SIGINT_CAP HF-MF radio wave propagation prediction software.

I wrote it beginning in the late 1980’s but I’m sorry to say that it still can’t be distributed to the general public. It does outperform VOA CAP and Prop Lab.

I do check the actual band conditions at my location in the USA and tweak the forecast manually where and when necessary.

I also check global HF-MF radio wave propagation conditions via remoted radio

receivers on every continent of the globe and tweak the forecast manually if

and when necessary.

And last but not least I look at ionsonde stations on every continent of the

globe.

The hamateur radio JT65A mode RF signal levels received are based on 5 watts

and ½ wave dipole up at 40 feet.

The hamateur radio PSK31 mode RF signal levels received are based on 25

watts and ½ wave dipole up at 40 feet.

The hamateur radio CW mode RF signal levels received are based on 50 watts

and ½ wave dipole up at 40 feet.

The hamateur radio SSB RF mode signal levels received are based on 100 watts

and ½ wave dipole up at 40 feet.

The HF shortwave broadcast band AM Mode RF signal levels are based on

100,000 watts (100 kw) and a typical high gain VOA type curtain array

antenna.

The MF broadcast band AM Mode RF signal levels are based on 50,000 watts (50 kw) and an omnidirectional vertical antenna.

Please keep in mind that this is a relatively simplified HF-MF radio wave

propagation forecast, so as to keep it easily understandable and applicable

by the average radio enthusiast.

THE FOLLOWING IS EDUCATIONAL MATERIAL ON SOLAR, SPACE, GEOMAGNETIC WEATHER OBSERVING AND IONOSPHERE GOINGS ON. ALSO HF AND MF RADIO WAVE PROPAGATION CONDITIONS AND FORECASTING.

Globally HF-MF radio wave propagation conditions are most evenly balanced

during the fall and spring equinoxes and most diametrically opposed during

the summer and winter solstices.

Conditions change daily, weekly, monthly, yearly and by decade, as the

sun rises and sets at different times and at different angles from the

ecliptic, as well as by radio wave frequency. This is due to changes in the

maximum usable frequency (MUF), lowest usable frequency (LUF) and F layer

critical frequency (FoF2). Also by propagation path.

The D and E layers also come into play through RF radio wave signal

absorption and refraction. And then there is sporadic E (Es) radio wave

propagation that can really throw a wrench into the gears so to speak.

Things like sporadic E (Es) radio wave propagation and lightning storm

static can impact HF radio wave propagation in an unpredictable manner and

mostly bad.

Ongoing solar, space and geomagnetic weather goings on also impact HF radio.

Lower high frequency (80-30 meters) propagation conditions are impacted in a

negative manner not so much by variations in the maximum usable frequency

(MUF) along a particular propagation path and time but rather due to

geomagnetic elevated geomagnetic conditions (Kp-3-4), storms (Kp-5 &

greater) that increase signal absorption via the E layer (the altitude of

the radio aurora). Also increases in the lowest usable frequency (LUF) via D

layer RF signal absorption due to hard x-rays, galactic cosmic waves,

elevated background solar flux levels greater than B0 and energetic proton

flux levels at energies greater than 10 MeV (10+0).

Higher frequency (20-10 meters) propagation conditions are impacted in a

negative manner by variations in the maximum usable frequency (MUF) along a

particular propagation path and time due to the current sunspot number and

also due to elevated geomagnetic conditions (Kp-3-4), storms of Kp-5 &

greater. Also D layer RF signal absorption due to elevated (greater than B0)

background solar flux levels. Also to a lesser extent elevated proton flux

at energies greater than 10 MeV (10+0).

GENERAL GUIDELINES CONCERNING CORRELATION OF PROPAGATION INDICES TO ACTUAL HF PROPAGATION CONDITIONS-

NOTE!!! The propagation indices "interpretations" are my personal

intellectual property. Therefore the HF-MF radio wave propagation indices

allowed without permission in advance as long as proper credit is given.

All 14 of the following indices have to occur as described below in order to

see the best global high frequency (HF) radio wave propagation possible,

something that happens only rarely.

1.) Dropping geomagnetic field indices numbers are better, Kp of 0 best.

2.) A daily sunspot number of 150 or higher, 200 or higher best.

3.) A daily sunspot number of greater than 100 for routine stable formation

of the E Valley/F Layer ducting mechanism.

4.) Previous 24 hour Ap index under 10, fewer than 7 for several days

consecutively are best.

5.) Previous 3 hours Kp index fewer than 3 for mid latitude paths, fewer

than 2 for high latitude paths, 0 for several days consecutively is best.

6.) Energetic protons no greater than 10 MeV (10+0).

7.) Background x-ray flux levels greater than B1 for several days

consecutively, greater than C1 best.

8.) No current STRATWARM alert.

9.) Interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz with a (positive number) sign,

indicates a lesser chance of high latitude path aurora

absorption/unpredictable refraction or scattering of medium frequency RF

signals, when the Kp is above 3.

10.) A -10 or better towards a positive number Dst index during the recovery

time after a geomagnetic storm, as related to the equatorial ring current. A

positive number is best.

GENERAL GUIDELINES CONCERNING CORRELATION OF PROPAGATION INDICES TO ACTUAL MF PROPAGATION CONDITIONS-

Medium frequency (300-3000 khz) radio wave propagation conditions are impacted in a negative manner not by variations in the maximum usable frequency (MUF) along a particular propagation path and time but rather due to energetic electron flux levels at energies greater than 2 MeV (2+1), geomagnetic disturbances (Kp-3-4) and geomagnetic storms (Kp-5 & >) that increase signal absorption via the E layer (the general altitude of the radio aurora). Also increases in the lowest usable frequency (LUF) via D layer signal absorption due to elevated background solar flux levels greater than A0, proton flux levels at energies greater than 10 MeV (10+0), hard x-rays and galactic cosmic rays.

There is also the issue of magneto ionic power coupling. Antenna polarization plays a large role in the success of a long haul MF DX contact. As a MF RF signal traverses Earth's magnetic lines of force in a perpendicular manner on high and mid latitude paths say between W3 land and SM, higher angle horizontally polarized signals are more readily absorbed than lower angle vertically polarized signals. On other propagation paths on the globe opposite results can be found, i.e., horizontally polarized signals suffer less absorption on a propagation path between VK6 and W6 or S9 and W4.

Unfortunately the simplest way to look at medium frequencies with respect to radio wave propagation conditions is to accept the fact that propagation is poor the majority of the time, especially past approximately 1250 miles (one maximum distance refraction off of the E layer), with occasional short-lived good periods as far as 3200 miles.

All 13 of the following indices have to occur as described below in order to see the best global medium frequency (MF) radio wave propagation possible.

The simplest way to look at medium frequencies (MF) with respect to radio wave propagation conditions is to accept the fact that propagation is poor the majority of the time, especially past approximately 1250 miles (one refraction off of the E layer), with occasional short-lived good periods as far as 3200 miles.

1.) Dropping geomagnetic field indices numbers are better, Kp of 0 best.

2.) A daily sunspot number under 100, under 70 best.

3.) A daily sunspot number no higher then the 100 for routine stable formation of the E Valley/F Layer ducting mechanism.

4.) Previous 24 hour Ap index under 10, fewer than 7 for several days consecutively are best.

5.) Previous 3 hours Kp index fewer than 3 for mid latitude paths, fewer than 2 for high latitude paths, 0 for several days consecutively is best.

6.) Energetic proton flux levels no greater than 10 MeV (10+0).

7.) Background x-ray flux levels of A0 for several days consecutively.

8.) No current STRATWARM alert.

9.) Interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) Bz with a (positive number) sign, indicates a lesser chance of high latitude path aurora absorption/unpredictable refraction or scattering of medium frequency RF signals, when the Kp is above 3.

10.) A -10 or better towards a positive number Dst index during the recovery time after a geomagnetic storm, as related to the equatorial ring current. A positive number is best.

11.) Galactic cosmic rays decrease to -3 units below zero and trending towards zero.

12.) Energetic electron flux levels no greater than 2 MeV (2+0).

13. A solar wind speed of less than 300 km/s for several days consecutively.

Standard Disclaimer-

Note! I use error prone RAW public domain data from the NOAA Space

Environment Center, other U.S. government entities and educational

institutions, to produce this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation

forecast. This data is gathered and made public by the U.S. Government using

taxpayer $$$ (including mine).

However this daily HF/MF propagation forecast that I produce from the RAW

public domain data is my personal intellectual property. Therefore this

daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast contained herein is copyrighted ©

1988-2019 by Thomas F. Giella, W4HM.

Feel free without prior permission to redistribute this daily HF/MF radio wave

propagation forecast, as long as you redistribute it in its entirety and

give me credit for it.

Also HF-MF radio wave propagation forecasting is still an inexact

science and therefore also an art. The forecasts are not official but for

educational and hobby related purposes only and are subject to human error

and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied.

Stations heard in Reinane and Lugo last days

ARMENIA, 4810, Armenian Public Radio, Gavar/Yerevan, 1700-1710, 26-12, tuning music, Turkish, comments. 34433.

CONGO, 6115, Radio Congo, Brazaville, 1650-1705, 26-12, French, comments. 14321.

DENMARK

5825, OZ-Viola, Hillerød, 2020-2110, 28-12, non stop instrumental music. Very weak, barely audible, best on LSB, but later improving signal and audible on normal AM. 15311.

5840, World Music Radio, Randers, 2112, 28-12, pop songs, id. in Spanish: "Esta es WMR, World Music Radio". 35433.

15805 kHz, World Music Radio,Randers, 1146-1405 UTC , December 30, Caribbean songs in Spanish, pop songs in English, id. "WMR, World Music Radio", pop songs, at 1347 identification: "World Music Radio, WMR", more pop songs, at 1400 new identification: "World Music Radio, WMR". SINPO 25422. At moments good signal, but other moments the signal disappears.

ETHIOPIA

6090, Radio Oromiya, Addis Ababa, 1615-1623, 26-12, Vernacular comments. 24322.

6110, Radio Fana, Addis Ababa, 1618-1625, 26-12, East African songs. 44444.

GERMANY

5830, Radio Menschen & Geschichten, Short Wave Service, via Gavar/Yerevan or Uzbekistan, *1900-1925, 29-12, German, id. “ Radio Menschen & Geschichten” comments, male, female. Very good signal here in Lugo. 45544.

6070, Radio Klein Paris International, Rohrbach, Special Boxing day transmission, 1213-1300*, 26-12, German, comments, pop songs, mentioned “Radio Bavaria”, “Radio Klein Paris International”. 35433. // 7440 with SINPO 25322.

6085, Radio Mi Amigo, Kall Krekel, *0759-0820, 29-12, pop songs in English, id. “Radio Mi Amigo, Mi Amigo”. 25322.

7440, Italian Broadcasting Corporation, Rohrbach, 1429-1445, 26-12, Italian, radio ham news,songs in English. 35433. // 6070 with SINPO 25322.

6150, Radio Marabu, Datteln, 0750, 0810, 29-12, pop songs in English, German,commens, id. “Radio Marabu”. 25322.

6190, Hamburger LokalRadio, Gohren, *0700-0800, 29-12, English, id., program “Media Network Plus”, at 0730 Glenn Hauser’s “World of Radio” program. 25322.

7265, Hamburger Lokal Radio, Gohren, 110-1200, 30-12, English, program “Media Network Club”, at 1130 Glenn Hauser’s program “World of Radio”. 15311.

HOLLAND

3975 kHz, FRS Holland, vía Shortwave Radio de. Germany, 1700-1745 UTC , 30-12, pop songs in English, identification: "FRS Holland", "Our three last hours also on 3975 kHz...", Radio news with Peter Verburggen, , 1733 UTC: "Happy new Year", “Free Radio Service Holland", at 1734 UTC musical program, songs. 25322.

7700, FRS Holland, *0852-0917, 30-12, now on air, open with pop song in English and tuning music, English, id. Broadcasting from Holland.... FRS Holland...Independent Free Radio...". 0900: "We broadcast on 7700 and 5800 kHz...", pop songs. 25422. // 5800 with SIPO 25322 on 5800.

SUDAN, 9505, Sudan Radio, Al Aitahab, 1720-1735, 26-12, East African songs, English, comments. 24322.

Manuel Méndez
Lugo, Spain

Log in Reinante and Lugo
Tecsun S-8800, cable antenna, 8 meters

Glenn Hauser logs Dec 30-31, 2018-January 1, 2019

** BOLIVIA. After Brazil at 0200, next chance for some NYE SW celebrations is Bolivia in the UT-4 zone at 0400. I would prefer to listen to Radio Santa Cruz, but not heard lately nor tonight on 6134.8. That leaves:

5952.48, Radio Pio Doce, still on at 0207. Aoki/NDXC shows 0100*; WRTH is noncommittal; and EiBi says 0230* Tue-Sun, other nights 0100* -- and January 1 until 0500 (I do not see that until next day). So I keep checking. Altho Argentina poses no direct QRM to its neighbor Bolivia, ironically it does now with the RAE English relay via WRMI much stronger on 5950 and splashing. But that`s the Pope`s fault for not sticking to nominal 5955, why? RPXII still on at 0232, and at 0352 but by now as 2019 acercates itself, has faded to JBA, so no point in listening further (Glenn Hauser, OK, WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** BRAZIL. After Spain at 2300 UT, next chance for some NYE SW celebrations is Brazil at 0200 = midnight BDST. 6180.03, at 0157 UT Jan 1, usual clash of RNA with CRI via Cuba making fast SAH, but better signal than 4885 or any other ZY. 0159 announcers chatting right thru hourtop with no timesignal, but at least ``Feliz ano novo`` and fireworx exploding. 0201 lengthy full ID for all R. Nacional stations starting with RN Brasília on 980, also mentioning 11780 [inactive] & 6180 somewhere in the middle. A bit of song, but off at 0203* after one word, ``Nacional``, uncovering CRICuba (Glenn Hauser, OK, WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** BULGARIA. 9400, via UTWente SDR, Dec 31 at 1758, Brother Scare, cut off at 1759 for a minute of dead air rather than any Spaceline ID, 1800 start `Uncle Bill`s Rockless NYE Special`. Interesting music and I listen to first half, but the UTWente feed keeps breaking up for me. Figured it would still be better than direct, or on WBCQ later, and at 1858 check here, 9400 is JBA, while 5130+ will be a JBA carrier and presumably not webcast (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** CHINA [and non]. 7445, Dec 31 at 2256, two stations mixing in Chinese with SAH: VOA via THAILAND and CNR1 jamming (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** CUBA. In honor of the sixtieth anniversary of the Triumph Of The Revolution, I check how the SW transmitters are doing, Jan 1 at 0212:

4765 Progreso distorted

5025 Rebelde undermodulated

5040 RHC Spanish suptorted

6000 RHC English undermodulated

6060 RHC Spanish very good

6165 RHC English undermodulated

Something`s always wrong at RadioCuba, Radio Habana Cuba (Glenn

Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** GUATEMALA. 4055, Jan 1 at 0651, TGAV is still on late for NYE, with hymn in Spanish. Too busy with our own WWV monitoring and CST celebrations at 0600 to have listened then for anything special from Verdad (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** JAPAN. 6055, Dec 31 at 1459, R. Nikkei still audible, only to sign-off, dead air and off at 1501* --- rather than celebrating Japan`s New Year, not even a timesignal. I used to enjoy the ceremony on NHK Japanese with gongbongs, but they stopped broadcasting that so I did not even try Radio Japan this year (Glenn Hauser, OK, WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** NORTH AMERICA. 4015.0-USB, Jan 1 at 0453, rock music S9+10, 0454 back-announcement something about California; inviting requests; 0455 HNY to someone in Waynesboro (MS? PA? TN? VA?), ID as ``WDDR, Drunken DJ Radio``, but he doesn`t sound drunk, yet. 0651 till going with music at S7-S8; 0657 SSTV to 0700 ``K`` in CW and off. Earlier had sought anypirate on 6.9 MHz band with no results. Wish more of them would run late into night when I for one would be more likely to hear them. A few others heard this, 55 posts, one from Waynesboro GA, at https://www.hfunderground.com/board/index.php/topic,49624.0.html including lots of SSTV images, between 0020 and 0700 (Glenn Hauser, OK, WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** SPAIN. 9690, Dec 31 at 2254, REE inbooming in rock music just before 2019y. This has proved to be our best/only SW live NYE signal from W Europe. Of course, pre-empts 2300 English as simulcasting Radio Nacional de España coverage. By 2258 wild crowd and announcers standing by for 12 campanadas at medianoche. Which are then heard after 4 other bells signifying hourtop, ``Feliz 2,019`` and cheers. 2301 announcing a toll-free call-in number. 2305 a live(?) song with guitars about trabajo, outroed as a mambo. 9690 still audible Jan 1 at 0220 with Spanish orchestral music, but faded to S9-S5 (Glenn Hauser, OK, WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** TURKEY. 5960, Dec 31 at 2304, again no signal from VOT English to

North America. Something`s always wrong at TRT? (Glenn Hauser, OK,

WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** U S A [non]. 6020, Dec 31 at 0600, news in French all about the RDC (Congo DR) elexions, from VOA via SAO TOME. This is the service which has added some Lingala segments, but presumably not while on SW (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** U S A [and non]. WORLD OF RADIO 1962 monitoring: confirmed Sunday December 30 at 2130 on WRMI 7780, fair. Missed checking UT Monday Dec 31 at 0230 on WRMI 5950 & 9395. Confirmed UT Mon Dec 25 from 0402 on Area 51 webcast, also via WBCQ 5130.4, S9 at 0428. Also confirmed UT Mon Dec 31 at 0430 on WRMI 9955 good S9+10 (tho I hated to interrupt ``Hallelujah`` fill music still playing at 0430!). Combo of factors made new WOR 1963 unready on Dec 31, so more replays of 1962: confirmed Mon Dec 31 at 2330 new time on 9955, good, as I interrupted a preacher; and UT Tue Jan 1, 2019 at 0030 on WRMI 7730, VG; and Tue Jan 1 at 2048 the 2030 on WRMI 7780, fair S9.

WORLD OF RADIO 1963 contents: Alaska, Argentina, Bolivia, Brasil, Canada, China, Cuba, Denmark, France, Greece, India, Iran and non, Ireland, Italy and non, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Nigeria non, North America, Perú, Poland non, Romania, Sa`udi Arabia, Spain, Sudan, Turkey, USA; and the propagation outlook

WOR 1963 ready late for first SW airings Wed Jan 2:

1030 UT Wednesday WRMI 5950 to WNW

2200 UT Wednesday WRMI *9955 to SSE

2200 UT Wednesday WBCQ *7490v to WSW

[Unique Radio NSW and via WINB on vacation until mid-January]

0729 UT Saturday HLR 6190-CUSB Germany to WSW

1230 UT Saturday WRMI *9955 to SSE [NEW]

1531 UT Saturday HLR 9485-CUSB Germany to WSW

2030vUT Saturday WA0RCR 1860-AM non-direxional

2200 UT Saturday WRMI *9955 to SSE [NEW]

0400vUT Sunday WA0RCR 1860-AM [nominal 0415], ND

0830 UT Sunday WRMI 5850 to NW, 5950 to WNW, 7730 to WNW

1130 UT Sunday HLR 7265-CUSB Germany to WSW

2130 UT Sunday WRMI 7780 to NE

0230 UT Monday WRMI 5950 to WNW, 9395 to NNW

0400vUT Monday WBCQ *5130v Area 51 to WSW

0430 UT Monday WRMI *9955 to SSE

2330 UT Monday WRMI *9955 to SSE [NEW]

* also webcast; direct linx to these and many others at:

Complete updated WOR sked, all affiliates, satellite, webcast, AM&FM:

http://www.worldofradio.com/radioskd.html

(Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** U S A. WRMI webcast, UT Mon Dec 31 after 0500 when 9955 is off after WORLD OF RADIO, now has a gospel huxter in Spanish; you never know what will be running on this.

9395, Dec 31 at 0552, Tecsun Australia SW radio ad on this WRMI and back to music (Oldies?). Tecsun-Au has also be advertising on SW Radiogram and Aussie SW stations, which is great, but odd its spots now on WRMI: are they doing business in N America? Has anyone over here bought SW radios from them, and for less than domestic sources?

9395 // 5950, Jan 1 at 0743, WRMI Oldies, no more RFI in Spanish (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

** U S A. 5130.4, JBA carrier UT January 1, when Larry Will said a special NYE Area 51 broadcast would be on via WBCQ at 03-06 UT; but I did enjoy some of the music and comedy via his stereo webcast (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

UNIDENTIFIED. 570, Jan 1 at 0707 UT, `Coast to Coast AM` with VG dominant signal. Just missed any local break. My closest regulars KLIF Dallas and WNAX Yankton (both day and night) are both C2CAM affiliates, and neither has a night pattern pushing so much signal this way, but more likely than several others carrying that program further east or west. Las Cruces might be on ND day power, but supposedly OLDies format (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

UNIDENTIFIED. 4102.85, Jan 1 at 0652, various numbers JBA in CW, ID as ``W`` and string of E`s (dits), the beacon somewhere in the Mojave? Desert with wind speed and other weather readings (Glenn Hauser, OK, DX LISTENING DIGEST)

This report despatched at 0159 UT January 2

Agenda DX 02/01/2019

ANNIVERSARIO EMITTENTI
BBC Radio Newcastle, Gran Bretagna 1458 Khz (1971)

B18 schedule: Shortwaveservice (Kall Krekel)

SHORTWAVESERVICE Kall/Deutschland

Stand: 5. Januar 2019

*** SENDEPLAN B18 *** ALLE ZEITEN IN MEZ ***

3985 kHz

Montag-Freitag

1600-1630 Radio Tirana (italienisch)
1630-1700 Radio Tirana (deutsch)
1700-1730 Radio Tirana (französisch)
1730-1757 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1757-1800 Nordschleswiger
1800-1900 Schweizer Radio "Echo der Zeit"
1900-2000 Radio Mi Amigo International
2000-2027 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
2027-2030 Nordschleswiger
2030-2057 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
2100-2127 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
2130-2150 Radio Belarus (französisch)
2150-2210 Radio Belarus (spanisch)
2210-2230 Radio Vatikan (deutsch)
2230 Sendeschluss

Samstag
1600-1630 Radio Tirana (italienisch)
1630-1700 Radio Tirana (deutsch)
1700-1730 Radio Tirana (französisch)
1730-1757 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1800-1900 Schweizer Radio "Echo der Zeit"
1900-2000 Radio Canada International (französisch)
2000-2027 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
2030-2057 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
2100-2127 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
2130-2150 Radio Belarus (französisch)
2150-2210 Radio Belarus (spanisch)
2210-2230 Radio Vatikan (deutsch)
2230 Sendeschluss

Sonntag
1600-1630 Radio Tirana (italienisch)
1630-1700 Radio Tirana (deutsch)
1700-1730 Radio Tirana (französisch)
1730-1757 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1800-1900 Schweizer Radio "Echo der Zeit"
1900-2000 Radio Canada International (englisch)
2000-2027 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
2030-2057 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
2100-2127 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
2130-2150 Radio Belarus (französisch)
2150-2210 Radio Belarus (spanisch)
2210-2230 Radio Vatikan (deutsch)
2230 Sendeschluss

*** SENDEPLAN B18 *** ALLE ZEITEN IN MEZ ***

6005 kHz

Montag-Freitag

0900-1000 RAE Argentinien (Wiederholung Voice of Mongolia Vortag)
1000-1200 Radio Belarus (deutsch)
1200-1227 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
1227-1230 Nordschleswiger
1230-1300 Schweizer Radio SRF "Rendez-Vous"
1300-1327 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1330-1357 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1400-1430 Voice of Mongolia (englisch)
1430-1500 Radio Tirana (englisch)
1500-1527 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
1527-1530 Nordschleswiger
1530-1557 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1600-1627 Radio Slowakei International (spanisch)
1630-1657 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1700-1730 Polskie Radio (deutsch)
1730-1757 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1757-1800 Nordschleswiger
1800-1900 Schweizer Radio SRF "Echo der Zeit"
1900 Sendeschluss

Samstag
0900-1000 Radio Canada International (französisch)
1000-1200 Radio Belarus (deutsch)
1200-1227 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
1230-1300 Music non stop
1300-1327 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1330-1357 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1400-1430 Voice of Mongolia (englisch)
1430-1500 Radio Tirana (englisch)
1500-1527 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
1530-1557 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1600-1627 Radio Slowakei International (spanisch)
1630-1657 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1700-1730 Polskie Radio (deutsch)
1730-1757 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1800-1900 Schweizer Radio SRF "Echo der Zeit"
1900 Sendeschluss

Sonntag
0900-1000 Radio Canada International (englisch)
1000-1200 Radio Belarus (deutsch)
1200-1227 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
1230-1300 IBC (englisch)
1300-1327 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1330-1357 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1400-1500 Radio Amathusia (niederländisch)
1500-1527 Radio Slowakei International (deutsch)
1530-1557 Radio Slowakei International (französisch)
1600-1627 Radio Slowakei International (spanisch)
1630-1657 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1700-1730 Polskie Radio (deutsch)
1730-1757 Radio Slowakei International (englisch)
1757-1800 Nordschleswiger
1800-1900 Schweizer Radio SRF "Echo der Zeit"
1900 Sendeschluss

*** SENDEPLAN B18 *** ALLE ZEITEN IN MEZ ***

6085 kHz

Montag-Sonntag

0900-1900 Radio Mi Amigo

*** SENDEPLAN B18 *** ALLE ZEITEN IN MEZ ***

7310 kHz

Samstag

1200-1600 Radio Mi Amigo

Sonntag

1200-1600 Radio Mi Amigo

martedì 1 gennaio 2019

Propagation outlook from Boulder

Parts of the U.S. Government are closed. However, because the information this site provides is necessary to protect life and property, it will be updated and maintained during the Federal Government shutdown.

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Dec 31 0038 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
24 - 30 December 2018

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. No Earth-directed
CMEs were observed this period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels on 29-30 December, with moderate levels on 24-25, and 28
December. Normal levels were observed on 26-27 December.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) storm levels on 28
December and quiet to unsettled levels on 27, 29-30 December in
response to recurrent CH HSS infleunce. Quiet conditions prevailed
on 24-26 December.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity
31 December - 26 January 2019

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook
period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 31 December, 01-03, 06-12, and
25-26 January with moderate flux levels expected on 04-05, 13-21,
and 24 January. Normal levels are expected throughout the remainder
of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) storm
levels on 24 January, with active levels expected on 04-06, and 16
January due to recurrent CH HSS effects. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook
period.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Dec 31 0038 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/content/subscription-services
#
# 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued 2018-12-31
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
# Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2018 Dec 31 69 10 3
2019 Jan 01 69 5 2
2019 Jan 02 69 5 2
2019 Jan 03 69 5 2
2019 Jan 04 69 12 4
2019 Jan 05 69 15 4
2019 Jan 06 69 15 4
2019 Jan 07 71 8 3
2019 Jan 08 71 5 2
2019 Jan 09 71 5 2
2019 Jan 10 71 5 2
2019 Jan 11 71 5 2
2019 Jan 12 71 5 2
2019 Jan 13 71 5 2
2019 Jan 14 71 5 2
2019 Jan 15 71 5 2
2019 Jan 16 71 12 4
2019 Jan 17 71 5 2
2019 Jan 18 71 5 2
2019 Jan 19 71 5 2
2019 Jan 20 69 5 2
2019 Jan 21 69 5 2
2019 Jan 22 69 5 2
2019 Jan 23 69 5 2
2019 Jan 24 69 20 5
2019 Jan 25 69 12 3
2019 Jan 26 69 12 3

(SWPC via WORLD OF RADIO 1963, DXLD)

Radio Center test on 1485 khz from Riga

Radio Center is ready for new test transmissions Jan 2nd at 04:00-06:00 UTC & Jan 6th at 19:00-22:00 UTC on 1485 khz, 1 kw transmitter in Bolderaja, near Riga

Media & Tech - 01/01/2019

Studio 52 Radio Group next live broadcast

Studio52 Radio Group was on air today, is a network of small hobby radio stations in the Netherlands and in Germany. It broadcasts from the Netherlands via stream and sometimes via a shortwave transmitter.

Our next live transmissions on shortwave for West Europe runs on:

Saturday, 19.Jan. 2019 / 12:00 - 15:00 UTC on 5970 kHz with 125kW via Nauen / Germany

More on studio52radiogroup.jimdo.com

W4HM Daily HF-MF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast #2019-1

<<<<<I want to wish my Facebook friends around the world a very “Happy New Year” in 2019 and also a safe and prosperous new year for all.>>>>>

Greetings to my fellow hamateur radio and SWL radio enthusiasts around the

world.

Welcome to my “not for profit” W4HM Daily HF-MF Radio Wave Propagation

Forecast.

It’s the only accurate daily global HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast produced on the planet.

If you find this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast useful to your

hamateur and SWL radio activities, feel free to drop me a line and let me

know that at

thomasfgiella@gmail.com

I enjoy hearing from likeminded fellow radio enthusiasts.

Hams and SWLs that are interested in solar, space & geomagnetic weather as

well as radio wave propagation are a special group of people interested in

broadening their knowledge in science.

Feel free without prior permission to redistribute this daily HF-MF radio wave

propagation forecast, as long as you redistribute it in its entirety and

give me credit for it.

Supporting images associated with this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast can be found in my Facebook account at

https://www.facebook.com/thomasfranklingiellaw4hm

and in my Twitter account at

https://twitter.com/GiellaW4hm

Last but not least here is my new HF-MF radio wave propagation web page where you can sign up to receive this daily HF-MF radio wave propagation forecast via email.

It's a NO SPAM voluntary "opt" in email type group hosted by Groups.io, so

you have to sign up by using an existing email address and creating a

password.

https://groups.io/g/w4hmradiowavepropagationforecast

W4HM Solar Cycle 24 Update and Solar Cycle 25 Forecast- Short and to the point.

#1 Issued Monday January 1, 2019 at 1545 UTC

Important Solar, Space & Geomagnetic Weather Indices-

Solar activity was very low.

The daily solar flux index numbers (DSFI) were

69.5 69.3 69.4.

There had been 6 consecutive days with a 2000 UTC daily solar flux index number (SFI) below 70.

The official daily sunspot number (DSSN) was 0.

There had been 16 consecutive days with an official sunspot number (DSSN) of 0.

In 2019 there had been 1 day with an official daily sunspot number (DSSN) of 0.

In 2018 there had been 221 days with an official daily sunspot number (DSSN) of 0.

The 24 hour period 3 hour interval planetary K index (Kp) had been at an unsettled to quiet geomagnetic condition of

3 2 2 2 2 1 0 1.

The 24 hour period planetary A index (Ap) maximum and minimum values ranged between

15 & 2,

which had been at an unsettled to quiet geomagnetic condition.

The 24 hour period maximum and minimum Disturbance Storm Time Index (Dst) ranged between

-20 & +1 nT. The data was unavailable.

The 24 hour period maximum and minimum solar wind speed was

475 & 416 km/s.

GLOBAL (HF) HIGH FREQUENCY (3000-30000 KHZ) RADIO WAVE PROPAGATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED-

HF-MF radio wave propagation condition “trend” on Jan 1, 2019- steady.

HF-MF radio wave propagation condition “trend” on Jan 2, 2019- steady.

HF-MF radio wave propagation condition “trend” on Jan 3, 2019- steady.

Northern Hemisphere HF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast g-

We are now in the winter season northern hemisphere HF-MF radio wave propagation season.

The approximately 3000-10000 kHz frequency range often stays open for DX all throughout the day due to a weaker D and E layer and therefore less RF signal absorption.

Northern Hemisphere Radio Wave Propagation Forecast g-

3150-3400, 3500-4100, 4750-5050, 5700-6300 kHz- S9 +1 to 9 at night and S1-3 at day,

6900-7800, 9200-9995, 10000-10150, 11500-12200 kHz- S9+ 1 to 9 at night and
S4-7 at day,

13570-13850, 14000-14350, 15005-15900, 17450-17950, 18068-18168 kHz- S0 at night and S3-4 at day,

21000-21850 kHz- S0 at night and S1-2 at day,

24890-24990, 25600-26100 kHz- S0 at night and S1 at day,

28000-29700 kHz- S0 at night and S0 at day.

Southern Hemisphere HF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast g-

We are now in the summer season southern hemisphere HF-MF radio wave propagation season.

3150-3400, 3500-4100, 4750-5050, 5700-6300 kHz- S9+10 at night and S3-5 at day,

6900-7800, 9200-9995, 10000-10150, 11500-12200 kHz- S9+15 at night and
S4-7 at day,

13570-13850, 14000-14350, 15005-15900, 17450-17950, 18068-18168 kHz- S1-3 at night and S5-8 at day,

21000-21850 kHz- S0 at night and S1-2 at day,

24890-24990, 25600-26100 kHz- S0 at night and S1 at day,

28000-29700 kHz- S0 at night and S0 at day.

GLOBAL (MF) MEDIUM FREQUENCY (300-3000 KHZ) RADIO WAVE PROPAGATION CONDITIONS EXPECTED-

FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE SHORT PATH-

-East <-> West To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S9-+5
*North <-> South To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S6-8
+South <-> North To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S9+1

FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE SHORT PATH-

-East <-> West To 1100 Mi / 1800 km	S9+1
*South <-> North To 1100 Mi /1800 km	S6-7
+North <-> South To 1100 Mi / 1800 km	S9

FORECASTED GREAT CIRCLE LONG OR SKEWED PATH-

Northern Hemisphere (TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross Equatorial propagation conditions in excess of approximately 3200 mi / 5200 km-

High Latitude	S4-6
Mid Latitude	S9+10
Low latitude	S7-8

FORECASTED GREAT CIRCLE LONG OR SKEWED PATH-

Southern Hemisphere (TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross Equatorial propagation conditions in excess of approximately 3200 mi / 5200 km-

High Latitude	S2-4
Mid Latitude	S6-7
Low latitude	S3-5