:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Mar 13 0238 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 06 - 12 March 2017
Solar activity was at very low levels
throughout the reporting
period. No CMEs observed in available SOHO LASCO
imagery were
determined to be Earth-directed.
No proton events were
observed at geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels on 06-08 Mar. Normal to high levels
were observed on 09
Mar and moderate to high levels were observed on 10 Mar.
On 11 Mar,
a return to normal to high levels were observed, with moderate
to
high levels ending the period on 12 Mar. Sustained levels of
electron
flux was caused by continuous influence of a CH HSS
throughout the reporting
period.
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to G1 (Minor)
levels
during the reporting period due to a negative polarity, CH HSS
that
persisted throughout most of the week. On 06 Mar, quiet to G1
(Minor)
levels represented a peak in geomagnetic activity caused by
650 km/s solar
wind speeds, the highest levels observed from the CH
HSS. A very gradual
decline in solar wind speeds caused unsettled to
active conditions on 07 Mar
followed by quiet to active levels on
08-10 Mar. Quiet to unsettled
conditions were observed on 11 Mar. An
isolated period of active conditions,
associated with a sustained
period of southward Bz, was observed early on 12
Mar which quickly
transitioned to quiet conditions for the rest of the day.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 13 MARCH - 08 APRIL
2017
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout
the
outlook period.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
is
expected to be at high levels on 13-17 Mar, 19-20 Mar, 24 Mar, and
29
Mar - 08 Apr due to influences from multiple, recurrent, CH HSSs.
Normal to
moderate levels are expected on 18 Mar, 21-23 Mar, and 25
Mar-28 Mar.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to
G2
(Moderate) levels over the next 27 days. Unsettled conditions
are
likely on 13-17 Mar, 19 Mar, 22 Mar, 24 Mar, 01 Apr, 03-05 Apr and
08
Apr. Active conditions are likely on 18 Mar, 23 Mar, 01 Apr, and
03-05 Apr.
G1 (Minor) conditions are likely on 30-31 Mar and 02 Apr.
G2 (Moderate)
conditions are likely on 28-29 Mar. All enhancements
in geomagnetic activity
are due to the influences of multiple,
anticipated, recurrent CH HSSs. Mostly
quiet conditions are likely
for the remaining days of the outlook
period.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued:
2017 Mar 13 0238 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space
Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the
Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2017-03-13
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2017 Mar 13 70
8 3
2017 Mar 14 72 8 3
2017 Mar 15
72 8 3
2017 Mar 16 72 8 3
2017
Mar 17 74 8 3
2017 Mar 18 74
12 4
2017 Mar 19 74 10 3
2017 Mar 20
74 5 2
2017 Mar 21 74 5 2
2017
Mar 22 76 10 3
2017 Mar 23 76
15 4
2017 Mar 24 76 8 3
2017 Mar 25
76 5 2
2017 Mar 26 74 5 2
2017
Mar 27 74 5 2
2017 Mar 28 74
35 6
2017 Mar 29 74 30 6
2017 Mar 30
72 20 5
2017 Mar 31 72 18 5
2017
Apr 01 72 15 4
2017 Apr 02 72
20 5
2017 Apr 03 72 15 4
2017 Apr 04
70 12 4
2017 Apr 05 70 12 4
2017
Apr 06 70 10 3
2017 Apr 07 70
5 2
2017 Apr 08 70 8 3
(via DXLD)
