Solar activity forecast for the period August 12 - August 18,
2016
Activity level: mostly very low to moderate
X-ray background
flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A7.0-B4.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation
in the range 80-110 f.u.
Events: class C (0-5/day), class M (0-3/period),
class X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the
range 10-90
Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar
Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail:
sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period
August 12 - August 18, 2016
Quiet: Aug 13 - 14
Unsettled: Aug 12,
Aug 15 - 18
Active: possible Aug 15 - 16
Minor storm: 0
Major
storm:0
Severe storm: 0
Geomagnetic activity summary:
After the
last unsettled episode, we expect for Budkov observatory quiet
to unsettled
conditions till Aug 15. This and following day, an active
episode is
possible. Then, we expect return of quiet to unsettled
conditions to the last
two days.
Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the
ASCR, Prague
Department of Geomagnetism
Budkov observatory
(BDV)
Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period August 12 - September
7, 2016
Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on August 26 -
27
mostly quiet on August 12 - 14, 17 - 18, 22, September 7
quiet to
unsettled on August 15, 19, 23, 31, September 1 - 3, 6
quiet to active on
August 16, 20 - 21, 24 - 25, 28 - 30, September 4 - 5
active to disturbed on
August (29 - 30)
Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are
expected:
on August 20 - 21, 23 - 24, 28 - 30, September 4 -
5
Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
Petr Kolman, OK1MGW
Czech Propagation Interested
Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail:
kolmanp(at)razdva.cz
