venerdì 29 maggio 2015

Solar activity forecast for the period May 29 - June 4, 2015

Solar activity forecast for the period May 29 - June 4, 2015

Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B1.0-B7.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 90-125 f.u.
Events: class C (0-10/day), class M (0-4/period), class X (0/period),
        proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 10-85

Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period May 29 - June 4, 2015

Friday, May 29, we expect unsettled conditions because of influence of
equatorial coronal hole.
Then, till Tuesday June 2, we expect at the Budkov observatory quiet to
unsettled conditions. The last days, June 3-4. active period is possible.

Tomas Bayer
Institute of Geophysics ASCR
Budkov Geomagnetic Observatory (BDV)
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Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period May 29 - June 17, 2015

Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on May June 13, 17
mostly quiet on May 30, June 1, 4 - 5, 12,
quiet to unsettled on May 29, 31, June 6
quiet to active on June 3, 7 - 9, 14, 16
active to disturbed on June 2, 15
disturbed on June 10 - 11

Amplifications of the solar wind are still mostly unpredictable,
but some peaks are expected on May 30, June 2 - 3, (8 - 9,) 12.

Remark:
- Reliability of predictions remains reduced.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interest Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz (via Dario Monferini, DXLD)