W4HM Daily HF Radio Wave Propagation Forecast
If you find this daily HF
radio wave propagation forecast useful to your hamateur and SWL radio
activities, feel free to drop me a line and let me know that
at
thomasfgiella@gmail.com .
Feel free without prior permission to
redistribute this daily HF radio wave propagation forecast, as long as you
redistribute it in its entirety and give me credit for it.
Supporting
images associated with my daily HF radio wave propagation forecast can be found
in my Facebook account at
https://www.facebook.com/thomasfranklingiellaw4hm
and
at
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/spaceweather
but
without supporting images.
It's a NO SPAM voluntary "opt" in email type
group hosted by contesting on line (COL), so you have to sign up by using an
existing email address and creating a password.
And last but not least I
also post some snippets of solar, space and geomagnetic weather goings on and
some images in my Twitter account at https://twitter.com/GiellaW4hm
.
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#316
Issued Sunday November, 12, 2017 at 1530 UTC
Global Daily HF Radio Wave
Propagation Forecast-
HF radio wave propagation condition trend-
improving
3150-3400, 3500-4100, 4750-5050, 5700-6300 kHz- very good at
night and poor to fair at day,
6900-7800, 9200-9995, 10000-10150,
11500-12200 kHz- very good at night and fair at day,
13570-13850,
14000-14350, 15005-15900, 17450-17950, 18068-18168 kHz- very poor at night and
good at day,
21000-21850 kHz- very poor at night and fair to good at
day,
24890-24990, 25600-26100 kHz- very poor at night and fair at
day,
28000-29700 kHz- very poor at night and poor at
day.
Excellent- S9+10 or >
Very Good- S9 +1-9
Good-
S8-9
Fair- S4-7
Poor- S1-3
Very Poor- S0
During the northern
hemisphere winter season the higher HF bands of 10-20 meters (11-19 meters)
close sooner due to less sun light illuminating the ionosphere than in the
southern hemisphere. But the maximum usable frequency (MUF) is higher than in
the southern hemisphere as the F layer of the ionosphere is lower in height and
more dense.
Southern Hemisphere Radio Wave Propagation
Forecast-
3150-3400, 3500-4100, 4750-5050, 5700-6300- fair at night and
poor at day,
6900-7800, 9200-9995, 10000-10150, 11500-12200 kHz- fair at
night and fair at day,
13570-13850, 14000-14350, 15005-15900,
17450-17950, 18068-18168, kHz-
fair at night and poor to fair at
day,
21000-21850 kHz- poor at night and fair at day,
24890-24990,
25600-26100 kHz- poor at night and poor at day,
28000-29700 kHz- very
poor at night and poor at day.
Excellent- S9+10 or >
Very Good- S9
+1-9
Good- S8-9
Fair- S4-7
Poor- S1-3
Very Poor- S0
Keep in
mind that almost daily during the southern hemisphere summer season you will
find that the 10 (11) meter bands will open via short north-south and east-west
propagation paths via sporadic E (Es). Also when multiple sporadic E (Es) clouds
form and line up favorably much longer propagation paths open up on east-west
paths. And last but not least north-south propagation paths occur across the
equator via trans equatorial propagation
(TEP).
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This
HF Radio wave propagation forecast is produced based on the SIGINT_CAP HF radio
wave propagation prediction software. I wrote it beginning in the late 1980’s
but I’m sorry to say that it can’t be distributed to the general
public.
And though this HF radio wave propagation forecast is produced
based on the SIGINT_CAP, I do check the actual band conditions at my location in
the USA and tweak the forecast manually where and when necessary. I also check
global HF radio wave propagation conditions via remoted radio receivers around
on every continent of the globe and tweak the forecast manually if and when
necessary.
The hamateur radio JT65A mode RF signal levels received are
based on 5 watts and ½ wave dipole up at 40 feet.
The hamateur radio
PSK31 mode RF signal levels received are based on 25 watts and ½ wave dipole up
at 40 feet.
The hamateur radio CW mode RF signal levels received are
based on 50 watts and ½ wave dipole up at 40 feet.
The hamateur radio SSB
RF mode signal levels received are based on 100 watts and ½ wave dipole up at 40
feet.
The HF shortwave broadcast band AM Mode RF signal levels are based
on 100,000 watts (100 kw) and a typical high gain VOA type curtain array
antenna.
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Please
keep in mind that this is a relatively simplified HF radio wave
propagation
forecast, so as to keep it easily understandable and applicable by the average
radio enthusiast.
Globally HF radio wave propagation conditions are most
evenly balanced
during the fall and spring equinoxes and most diametrically
opposed during
the summer and winter solstices.
Conditions change
daily, weekly, monthly, yearly and by decade, as the
sun rises and sets at
different times and at different angles from the
ecliptic, as well as by
radio wave frequency. This is due to changes in the
maximum usable frequency
(MUF), lowest usable frequency (LUF) and F layer
critical frequency
(FoF2).
The D and E layers also come into play through RF radio wave
signal
absorption and refraction. And then there is sporadic E (Es) radio
wave
propagation that can really throw a wrench into the gears so to
speak.
Things like sporadic E (Es) radio wave propagation and lightning
storm
static can impact HF radio wave propagation in an unpredictable manner
and
mostly bad.
Ongoing solar, space and geomagnetic weather goings
on also impact HF radio
wave propagation conditions in a negative
manner.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Standard
Disclaimer-
Note! I use error prone RAW public domain data from the NOAA
Space
Environment Center, other U.S. government entities and educational
institutions, to produce this daily HF radio wave propagation
forecast.
This data is gathered and made public by the U.S. Government using
taxpayer
$$$ (including mine).
However this daily HF propagation forecast that I
produce from the RAW public domain data is my personal intellectual property.
Therefore this daily HF radio wave propagation forecast contained herein is
copyrighted © 1988-2017 by Thomas F. Giella, W4HM.
Feel free without
prior permission to redistribute this daily HF radio wave propagation forecast,
as long as you redistribute it in its entirety and
give me credit for
it.
Also HF radio wave propagation forecasting is still an inexact
science. The forecasts are not official but for educational and hobby
related purposes only and are subject to human error and acts of God,
therefore no guarantee or warranty implied.
