Solar activity forecast for the period November 6 - 12, 2015
Activity
level: mostly low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range
B1.0-B8.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-125
f.u.
Events: class C (0-12/day), class M (0-6/period), class X (0/period),
proton (0-1/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range
10-90
Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept.,
Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail:
sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period November 6 - 12, 2015
First two days of
forecasted week, we expect quiet to unsettled conditions.
Since Sunday, Nov
8, quiet to unsettled conditions are still expected but
an active episode is
possible.
Last two days, we expected at most unsettled conditions with
several
active episodes (multiple K-indices ? 4).
Tomas
Bayer
Institute of Geophysics ASCR
Budkov Geomagnetic Observatory
(BDV)
_________________________________________________________________________
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period November 6 - December 2 ,
2015
Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on November 12, 15, 22, 25,
mostly quiet on November 18 - 19, 21, 24, 28 - 29
quiet to unsettled on
November 6, 10, 13, 17, 20, 23, 27
quiet to active on November 9, 11, 14, 16,
26, December 1 - 2
active to disturbed on November 7 - 8,
30
Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on November 7 - 8,
10 - 11, 15, 18 (-21), 27 - 29 (30)
Remarks:
- Reliability of
predictions remains reduced in present solar cycle phase.
- Parenthesis means
lower probability of activity enhancement.
F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech
Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since
1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
