sabato 12 giugno 2010

Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)

:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 11 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Several B-class events were produced by new Region 1081
(N22W43), which was numbered early in the period today and has a
beta magnetic classification.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a chance for a C-class event for the next three
days (12-14 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (12-14
June).
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Jun 075
Predicted 12 Jun-14 Jun 075/075/073
90 Day Mean 11 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01