lunedì 13 agosto 2018

Propagation outlook from Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2018 Aug 13 0125 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 06 - 12 August 2018

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. No Earth-directed
CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was
normal background levels throughout the period.

Geomagnetic field activity was ranged from quiet to active. Quiet
levels were observed on 06 Aug, 08-10 Aug and 12 Aug; unsettled
levels were reached on 07 Aug and active levels were reached on 11
Aug. Mostly nominal solar wind conditions were observed through the
period. A SSBC followed by very weak influence from a negative
polarity CH HSS occurred on 11 Aug. Total magnetic field strength
briefly reached 11 nT around 11/0400 UTC but no significant periods
of southward Bz were observed.

FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 13 AUGUST-08 SEPTEMBER 2018

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook
period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to range from normal to moderate levels over the outlook
period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to range from quiet to active
levels over the outlook period. Unsettled levels are expected on 13
Aug, 18 Aug, 04 Sep and 07-08 Sep; active levels are expected on
16-17 Aug, 20-21 Aug and 03 Sep. All increases in geomagnetic
activity are anticipated in response to multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.
The remainder of the outlook period is expected to be at quiet
levels.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2018 Aug 13 0125 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2018-08-13
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2018 Aug 13      68           8          3
2018 Aug 14      68           5          2
2018 Aug 15      68           5          2
2018 Aug 16      68          12          4
2018 Aug 17      68          15          4
2018 Aug 18      68           8          3
2018 Aug 19      68           5          2
2018 Aug 20      68          15          4
2018 Aug 21      68          12          4
2018 Aug 22      68           5          2
2018 Aug 23      70           5          2
2018 Aug 24      70           5          2
2018 Aug 25      70           5          2
2018 Aug 26      70           5          2
2018 Aug 27      70           5          2
2018 Aug 28      70           5          2
2018 Aug 29      70           5          2
2018 Aug 30      70           5          2
2018 Aug 31      70           5          2
2018 Sep 01      70           5          2
2018 Sep 02      70           5          2
2018 Sep 03      70          12          4
2018 Sep 04      70           8          3
2018 Sep 05      70           5          2
2018 Sep 06      68           5          2
2018 Sep 07      68          10          3
2018 Sep 08      68           8          3
(SWPC via DXLD)