sabato 5 maggio 2018

W4HM Solar Cycle 25 Forecast

On Thursday May 3, 2018 the daily solar flux index numbers (DSFI) were 67.3
66.5 66.9

The 66.5 reading is the lowest so far in the solar cycle 24 down slide
towards solar minimum. At solar minimum the daily solar flux number stays in
the low to mid 60’s range for years at a time.

Solar minimum may begin later this year and may last longer than any
previous solar cycle in the 20th century. When solar cycle 25 finally gets
going it could be the weakest since the middle of the 19th century. Another
Dalton type solar minimum may occur with a corresponding cooling of earth’s
climate. This would negate anthropogenic climate change if it were occurring
but isn’t.

On February 1, 2008 I forecasted that solar cycle 24 would be the smallest
solar cycle in the past 100 years. That forecast verified.

I also forecasted that solar cycle 25 would be almost non nonexistent.

Standard Disclaimer-

Note! I use error prone RAW public domain data from the NOAA Space
Environment Center, other U.S. government entities and educational
institutions, to produce this solar cycle 25
forecast. This data is gathered and made public by the U.S. Government using
taxpayer $$$ (including mine).

However this solar cycle 25 forecast that I have produced from the RAW
public domain data is my personal intellectual property. Therefore this
solar cycle 25 forecast contained herein is copyrighted ©
1988-2018 by Thomas F. Giella, W4HM.

Feel free without prior permission to redistribute this solar cycle 25
as long as you redistribute it in its entirety and
give me credit for it.

Solar cycle forecasting is still an inexact
science and therefore also an art. The forecasts are not official but for
educational and hobby related purposes only and are subject to human error
and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied.

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, W4HM
Lakeland, FL, USA