martedì 4 luglio 2017

Propagation outlook from Boulder

:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Jul 03 0114 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#                Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 26 June - 02 July 2017

Solar activity was very low throughout the period. Region 2664 (N18,
L=313, class/area=Dsi/100 on 27 Jun) was the most active region this
week but only produced low-level B-class flare activity. A very
faint CME, not associated with a flare event, was detected in
coronagraph imagery midday on 27 Jun and is believed to have arrived
at Earth late on 30 Jun/early on 01 Jul, causing a solar wind
disturbance. Another, larger, partial halo CME associated with a
long-duration B1 flare from Region 2664 was detected in coronagraph
imagery midday on 28 Jun. This event is expected to arrive at Earth
on 03 Jul.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
moderate levels on 26-30 Jun with normal levels observed on 01-02
Jul.

Geomagnetic field activity reached active and G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storm levels on 02 Jul due to the influence of a transient solar
wind feature believed to be the passage of the 27 Jun CME. Quiet and
quiet to unsettled conditions were observed throughout the remainder
of the period under a nominal solar wind regime.

FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 03 JULY - 29 JULY 2017

Solar activity is expected to be at low levels throughout the
outlook period with a slight chance for isolated C-class flare
activity.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is
expected to reach high levels on 16-19 Jul with moderate and normal
levels expected throughout the remainder of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is likely to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic
storm levels on 03 Jul due to the anticipated arrival of the 28 Jun
CME. G1 storm conditions are likely on 13 Jul with active levels
likely on 14 Jul due to the influence of a recurrent negative
polarity CH HSS. Generally quiet and quiet to unsettled conditions
are expected throughout the remainder of the outlook period as a
nominal solar wind regime prevails.

:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Jul 03 0114 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#      27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
#                Issued 2017-07-03
#
#   UTC      Radio Flux   Planetary   Largest
#  Date       10.7 cm      A Index    Kp Index
2017 Jul 03      70          19          5
2017 Jul 04      70          11          3
2017 Jul 05      70           7          2
2017 Jul 06      70           7          2
2017 Jul 07      71           5          2
2017 Jul 08      71           5          2
2017 Jul 09      71           5          2
2017 Jul 10      71           5          2
2017 Jul 11      71           5          2
2017 Jul 12      71           5          2
2017 Jul 13      71          23          5
2017 Jul 14      71          13          4
2017 Jul 15      71          11          3
2017 Jul 16      72           5          2
2017 Jul 17      72           5          2
2017 Jul 18      72           5          2
2017 Jul 19      72           5          2
2017 Jul 20      71           5          2
2017 Jul 21      71          11          3
2017 Jul 22      71          11          3
2017 Jul 23      71           5          2
2017 Jul 24      71           5          2
2017 Jul 25      71           5          2
2017 Jul 26      71           5          2
2017 Jul 27      71           5          2
2017 Jul 28      70           5          2
2017 Jul 29      70           5          2
(SWPC via DXLD)