domenica 2 aprile 2017

The K7RA Solar Update


Solar activity rose over the past week, with average daily sunspot numbers rising from 3.4 to 29.7 and solar flux from 71.2 to 77.9.

Average daily planetary A index increased from 10 to 18.3, and average mid-latitude A index went from 7.1 to 13.6.

Predicted solar flux is 86, 87 and 88 on March 31 till April 2, then 86, 84, 83 and 82 on April 3-6, 71 on April 7-14, 73 on April 15-17, 75 on April 18-22, 78 on April 23-26, 75 on April 27-29, 73 on April 30 to May 1 and 71 on May 2-11.

Predicted planetary A index is 20 on March 31 through April 2, 15 on April 3-4, 12 on April 5-6, 5 on April 7-16, then 24, 25 and 10 on April 17-19, 5 on April 20-22, then 25, 40, 35, 20, 18 and 12 on April 23-28, and 8, 16, 12, 15 and 12 on April 29 through May 3, followed by 5 on May 4-13 and 24 on May 14.

F.K. Janda, OK1HH sent us his geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 31-April 25, 2017.

“Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on April 9-10, 14-16, 20-22
mostly quiet on April 6, 8, 11
quiet to unsettled April 4, 12-13, 19
quiet to active on April 3, 5, 7, 23, 25
active to disturbed on March 31, April 1-2, 17-18, 24

Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are expected on March 31, April 1-4, (5-8,) 12-13. (14,) 16-20, 25

Remark:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement and/or lower reliability of prediction.”