giovedì 2 marzo 2017

Weekly Forecasts Bulletin

Solar activity forecast for the period March 3 - March 9, 2017


Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A5.5-B1.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 65-95 f.u.
Events: class C (0-2/day), class M (0/period), class X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 0-80

Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 3 - March 9, 2017


Quiet: Mar 6 - 9
Unsettled: Mar 3 - 5
Active: possible Mar 5 - 7
Minor storm:  0
Major storm: 0
Severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary:

Last night, a minor geomagnetic storm has been observed. We expect
geomagnetic activity decrease during the next week. First half of
forecasted week, we expect at most unsettled course (but tending to quiet
to unsettled conditions), the second half, we expect at most quiet
conditions only with isolated unsettled or singular active episode.
We do not expect any storming event next week.

Tomas Bayer
RWC Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of Geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period March 3 - March 28, 2017


Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on March 8 - 9, 12, 14, 26
mostly quiet on March 10 - 11, 13, 15, 25
quiet to unsettled March 7, 20 - 22, 24
quiet to active on March 3 - 4, 6, 16, 18 - 19, 23, 27
active to disturbed on March 5, 17, 28

Amplifications of the solar wind from coronal holes are expected
on March 3 - 5, (6 - 8, 20 - 22,) 23 - 26

Remark:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement and/or
lower reliability of prediction.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
OK1HH compiling weekly forecasts since 1978
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz