:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2017 Jan 09 0609 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 02 - 08 January 2017
Solar activity was at very low levels with
only a few low level
B-class flares observed. The solar disk was mostly
spotless
throughout the period. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections
were
observed.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
was
normal to moderate levels with high levels observed on 05-08
January.
The largest flux value of the period was 25,537 pfu
observed at 08/1935 UTC.
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels on
02
January under a nominal solar wind environment. By 03 January, a
solar
sector boundary crossing was observed at approximately 03/0956
UTC
transitioning into a negative sector followed by increase in
solar wind speed
and total field indicating the onset of a negative
polarity coronal hole high
speed stream (CH HSS). Total field
increased to a maximum of 15 nT on 04/0444
UTC. Solar wind increased
from approximately 372 km/s to 695 km/s by 05/1423
UTC. Solar wind
speeds continued near 670 km/s through the rest of the
period. The
geomagnetic field responded with quiet to active levels from
03-08
January.
FORECAST OF SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 09
JANUARY-04 FEBRUARY 2017
Solar activity is expected to be at very low
levels with low levels
possible from 12-26 January due to the return of old
Region 2621
(N10, L=237).
No proton events are expected at
geosynchronous orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is
expected to be at normal to moderate levels with high
levels likely
on 9-10, 12-16, 18-27 January and on 01-04 February due to CH
HSS
influence.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at
unsettled to active
levels on 09, 11-14, 17-23, and 27 January through 04
February with
G1 (Minor) storm levels likely on 17-19, 21-22 January, and
again on
03 February due to recurrent CH HSS effects.
:Product: 27-day
Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued: 2017 Jan 09 0610 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2017-01-09
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2017 Jan 09 72
12 4
2017 Jan 10 72 5 2
2017 Jan 11
72 12 4
2017 Jan 12 72 15 4
2017
Jan 13 72 10 3
2017 Jan 14 72
8 3
2017 Jan 15 73 5 2
2017 Jan 16
73 5 2
2017 Jan 17 73 25 5
2017
Jan 18 73 20 5
2017 Jan 19 74
25 5
2017 Jan 20 75 18 4
2017 Jan 21
75 20 5
2017 Jan 22 75 20 5
2017
Jan 23 75 10 3
2017 Jan 24 75
5 2
2017 Jan 25 75 5 2
2017 Jan 26
74 5 2
2017 Jan 27 74 12 4
2017
Jan 28 74 15 4
2017 Jan 29 73
7 3
2017 Jan 30 73 10 3
2017 Jan 31
73 12 4
2017 Feb 01 73 16 4
2017
Feb 02 72 18 4
2017 Feb 03 72
20 5
2017 Feb 04 72 16 4
(SWPC via
DXLD)
