Solar activity forecast for the period November 11 - November 17,
2016
Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux
(1.0-8.0 A): in the range A6.0-B2.5
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in
the range 70-95 f.u.
Events: class C (0-2/day), class M (0/period), class X
(0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range
0-65
Tomas Blaha
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept.,
Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
Geomagnetic
activity forecast for the period November 11 - November 17,
2016
Quiet: Nov 10 - 11, 15 - 16
Unsettled: Nov 11, 13 -
17
Active: Nov 11 - 12, 17
Minor storm: possible Nov 12
Major
storm:0
Severe storm: 0
Geomagnetic activity summary:
We expect an
active episode late evening Friday, Nov 11, and continuing at
Saturday, Nov
12. This day, minor storming event is possible. Since Nov
14, we expect
return to quiet to unsettled conditions till Nov 16. At the
end of forecasted
period, other active episode is possible.
Tomas Bayer
RWC
Prague
Institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of
Geomagnetism
Budkov observatory (BDV)
Geomagnetic activity forecast
for the period November 11 - December 7, 2016
Geomagnetic field will
be:
quiet on November 15 - 17, December 1 - 4
mostly quiet on November 14,
19, 28, December 7
quiet to unsettled on November 11, 18, 26 - 27, December
5
quiet to active on November 12 - 13, 20, 24, 29 - 30, December 6
active
to disturbed on November 21 - 22, (23, 25)
Amplifications of the solar
wind from coronal holes are expected
on November 11 - 13, 18 -
20
Remark:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity
enhancement.
- Reliability of predictions is reduced at present.
F. K.
Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW,
weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
