:Product: Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
:Issued: 2016 Jun 27 0346 UTC
#
Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/weekly.html
#
#
Weekly Highlights and Forecasts
#
Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic
Activity 20 - 26 June 2016
Solar activity was very low during the entire
summary period with
only B-class flare activity observed. No Earth-directed
CMEs
occurred.
No proton events were observed at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
reached
high levels on 21-22 Jun and 25-26 Jun following coronal hole
high
speed stream events. Normal to moderate levels were observed on
the
remaining days.
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet on 20-21
Jun. Mostly quiet
conditions were observed early on 22 Jun but activity
increased
after 22/1800 UTC due to enhanced solar wind parameters
and
unsettled to minor storm levels were observed. Quiet to
unsettled
conditions with isolated active periods were observed on 23-24
Jun
due to negative polarity CH HSS effects. Quiet to unsettled
conditions
were observed on 25-26 Jun with an isolated period of
active conditions
observed from 26/2100-2400 UTC due to CH HSS
effects.
FORECAST OF
SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY 27 JUNE - 23 JULY 2016
Solar activity is
expected to be very low throughout the forecast
period with a slight chance
for C-class activity.
No proton events are expected at geosynchronous
orbit.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit
is
expected to be at high levels from 27 Jun to 01 Jul following CH
HSS
effects. Normal to moderate levels are expected on 02-03 Jul as a
CIR
redistributes electrons. High levels are expected to return from
04-07 Jul
following a recurrent CH HSS. Moderate levels are expected
from 08-21 Jul
followed by moderate to high levels on 22-23 Jul
following another recurrent
CH HSS.
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to begin at unsettled
to
active levels but decrease to mostly quiet levels by midday on 27
Jun
and remain quiet through 29 Jun. Quiet to unsettled conditions
are expected
from 30 Jun to 05 Jul with isolated active conditions
possible on 03 Jul due
to a recurrent negative polarity CH HSS.
Quiet conditions are expected on 06
Jul. Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected from 07-12 Jul with minor
storms possible on
11 Jul and active periods likely on 12 Jul due to effects
from a
recurrent positive polarity CH HSS. Mostly quiet conditions
are
expected to return from 13-18 Jul with unsettled periods possible
on
14-15 Jul. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 19-21 Jul
due
to negative polarity CH HSS effects with an isolated active
period likely on
19 Jul. Quiet conditions are expected for the
remainder of the
period.
:Product: 27-day Space Weather Outlook Table 27DO.txt
:Issued:
2016 Jun 27 0346 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space
Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the
Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#
27-day Space Weather Outlook Table
# Issued
2016-06-27
#
# UTC Radio Flux Planetary Largest
#
Date 10.7 cm A Index Kp Index
2016 Jun 27 77
10 4
2016 Jun 28 80 5 2
2016 Jun 29
80 5 2
2016 Jun 30 80 10 3
2016
Jul 01 80 8 3
2016 Jul 02 80
8 3
2016 Jul 03 80 12 4
2016 Jul 04
80 10 3
2016 Jul 05 82 8 3
2016
Jul 06 82 5 2
2016 Jul 07 82
8 3
2016 Jul 08 82 10 3
2016 Jul 09
82 10 3
2016 Jul 10 82 8 3
2016
Jul 11 80 20 5
2016 Jul 12 82
12 4
2016 Jul 13 82 5 2
2016 Jul 14
80 8 3
2016 Jul 15 80 8 3
2016
Jul 16 80 5 2
2016 Jul 17 80
5 2
2016 Jul 18 78 5 2
2016 Jul 19
78 15 4
2016 Jul 20 78 12 3
2016
Jul 21 78 10 3
2016 Jul 22 78
5 2
2016 Jul 23 78 5 2
(SWPC via
DXLD)
