venerdì 22 aprile 2016

Solar activity forecast

Solar activity forecast for the period April 22 - April 28, 2016

Activity level: mostly very low to low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range A6.0-B4.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 75-100 f.u.
Events: class C (0-4/day), class M (0-1/period), class X (0/period), proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 10-75

Ivana Macourkova
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period April 21 - April 28, 2016

Quiet: Apr 21, 22, 26 - 28
Unsettled: Apr 24 - 25
Active: Apr 23
Minor storm: 0
Major storm: 0
Severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was guiet
on Apr 15, 18, and 19, unsettled on Apr 16 and 17, unsettled
to active on Apr 14.

RWC Prague
institute of Geophysics of the ASCR, Prague
Department of Geomagnetism


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period April 22 - May 18, 2016

Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on April 27, May 7, 12, 16 - 18
mostly quiet on April 22, 28, May 1, 3, 6, 13, 15
quiet to unsettled on April 25 - 26, May 2, 4, 8
quiet to active on April 24, 29, May 9, 11, 14
active to disturbed on April 23, 30, May 5, 10

Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on
April 23 - 26, 29 - 30, May 4 - 5, 10 - 11, 14

Remarks:
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.
- The situation has been changed, neither occur again.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH
Czech Propagation Interested Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz