venerdì 18 settembre 2015

Solar activity forecast for the period September 18 - 24, 2015

Activity level: mostly low
X-ray background flux (1.0-8.0 A): in the range B1.0-B7.0
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 80-120 f.u.
Events: class C (0-13/day), class M (0-6/period), class X (0/period),
        proton (0/period)
Relative sunspot number (Ri): in the range 10-80

Jozef Lesko
RWC Prague, Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
_________________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period September 17 - 24, 2015

AT the Thursday, Sep 17, we expect quiet to unsettled geomagnetic
conditions. The same is our forecast for Friday, Sep 18.
Next days, Sep 19 - 20, we expect at most unsettled conditions with active
episode possible.
At the Monday, Sep 21, unsettled conditions continuing is probable. The
last days of forecasted week, we can expect active coditions with minor
storm possible.


Tomas Bayer
Institute of Geophysics ASCR
Budkov Geomagnetic Observatory (BDV)
_________________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period September 18 - October 14, 2015

Geomagnetic field will be:
quiet on September 21, 27 - 28
mostly quiet on September 20, 26, 29, October 10, 14
quiet to unsettled on September 25, October 2, 7, 13
quiet to active on September 18 - 19, 23 - 24, 30, October 1, 3, 6, 9, 11
active to disturbed on September 22, October 4 - 5, 8, 12

Amplifications of the solar wind are expected on September (18,)
20  - 22, (25 - 28) and October 3 - 5, 8 - 9.

Remarks:
- Reliability of predictions remains essentially reduced in pesent solar cycle
  phase.
- Parenthesis means lower probability of activity enhancement.

F. K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interest Group
(OK1HH & OK1MGW, weekly forecasts since 1978)
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz